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The Central and Eastern European automotive market - CEE automotive industry overview - EY - Global

The Central and Eastern European automotive marketCEE automotive industry overview

Figure 1: Light vehicle production by region (in units), 2007–14

  2007 2008 2009 2010F 2011F 2012F 2013F 2014F
Asia 27,889,116 28,333,805 28,846,146 31,794,698 34,210,699 36,526,521 38,172,449 39,561,154
North America 15,023,617 12,583,613 8,525,754 10,595,746 12,280,019 13,927,633 14,759,061 15,468,553
Western Europe 16,109,678 14,582,725 11,946,822 11,892,659 12,179,938 12,501,940 14,072,976 14,897,378
Central and Eastern Europe 5,978,025 6,367,050 4,739,247 5,269,842 5,769,352 6,497,232 7,314,985 8,009,410
South America 3,581,641 3,759,796 3,673,142 4,092,846 4,437,041 4,775,147 5,163,485 5,500,447
Middle East 1,126,521 1,183,087 1,343,704 1,395,552 1,602,405 1,779,340 1,953,593 2,076,379
Africa 559,785 565,535 397,493 503,400 590,832 717,859 785,450 813,835
Other 155,796 196,000 198,000 552,000 940,000 967,000 996,000 786,000
Grand total 70,424,179 67,571,611 59,670,308 66,096,743 72,010,286 77,692,672 83,217,999 87,113,156

F = projected
Source: J.D. Power and Associates

Figure 2: Light vehicle sales by region (in units), 2007–14

  2007 2008 2009 2010F 2011F 2012F 2013F 2014F
Asia 19,282,303 19,771,322 23,912,856 25,939,674 27,549,325 29,542,685 31,137,280 32,365,108
North America 18,861,804 15,864,500 12,615,676 14,103,643 16,300,092 17,818,283 18,722,680 19,213,329
Western Europe 16,853,381 15,379,461 14,967,656 13,659,763 13,766,849 15,009,892 15,980,015 16,754,005
South America 3,995,993 4,220,373 4,178,826 4,792,196 5,330,526 5,806,119 6,179,024 6,436,653
Central and Eastern Europe 5,342,490 5,643,736 3,299,354 3,332,591 3,808,663 4,479,892 5,275,932 6,106,662
Other 4,068,648 3,223,000 2,978,000 3,020,000 3,102,000 3,164,000 3,206,000 3,232,000
Middle East 1,297,260 1,371,905 1,545,542 1,619,269 1,849,513 2,051,770 2,251,674 2,399,862
Africa 646,245 514,071 276,665 415,821 467,297 545,355 623,216 681,575
Grand total 70,348,124 65,988,368 63,774,575 66,882,957 72,174,265 78,417,996 83,375,821 87,189,194

F = projected
Source: J.D. Power and Associates

Figure 3: New passenger car sales — 2009 market share of top three selling brands and leading brand

Locations of major suppliers and OEMs in CEE

This chart shows existing OEM locations, but it excludes those announced but not yet operational.
Source: EY

Figure 7: CEE industry landscapes — global suppliers

Suppliers Bulgaria Czech Republic Hungary Poland Romania Russia Slovakia Slovenia Turkey Ukraine
Aisin Seiki                
ArvinMeritor          
Bridgestone              
Bosch
Continental        
Dana                
Delphi      
Denso            
Faurecia    
Federal Mogul          
Hankook Tire                
Johnson Controls    
Lear      
Magna          
Toyota Boshoku            
TRW          
Valeo      
Visteon          
Yazaki        
ZF Friedrichshafen    

Please note: this table shows existing Tier 1 supplier plants, but it excludes those announced but not yet operational.
Source: company information.

Figure 8: CEE industry landscapes — major light vehicle plants and assembly facilities (including joint ventures)

OEMs Czech Republic Hungary Poland Romania Russia Slovakia Slovenia Turkey Ukraine
Andoria Mot                
ARO                
Avotor                
AvtoVAZ                
Bogdan                
Fiat              
Ford              
GAZ                
Geely                
GM              
Honda                
Hyundai          
Karsan                
Krasz                
Mitsubishi                
Nissan                
PSA            
Renault          
Sollers OJSC                
Suzuki                
TAGAZ                
Tofas                
Toyota            
UkrAVTO              
Volkswagen        

Source: European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association, EY.

Figure 9: Number of FDI investments in new automotive supplier plants, 1997–2009

  1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Grand total
Russia 11 12 5 6 8 9 6 12 10 12 17 12 14 134
Romania 3 2 2 4 7 7 5 18 11 22 21 16 9 127
Czech Republic 11 12 15 19 21 30 32 27 27 21 19 20 8 262
Slovakia 2 2 4 8 3 6 8 21 20 9 16 15 7 121
Turkey 6 5 2 1 5 11 6 8 4 2 6 7 7 70
Poland 29 26 15 17 14 16 8 34 30 19 15 26 6 255
Hungary 23 17 16 16 11 18 22 21 13 17 16 13 5 208
Slovenia   4   1     1 4 1 3 5 1 3 23
Serbia             1 1 2 4 6 6 2 22
Ukraine 3         1 6 3 1 1 1   2 18
Bulgaria 1     2 1 2 2 3 3 2 1 8 1 26
Lithuania 2 1   1 2 2 1 2         1 12
Moldova 1         2         1   1 5
Estonia 2   1 1 1 3 2 3   1       14
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1 1 2   1 2     1     2   10
Latvia 1   1         3 1 1 1 1   9
Croatia   1   1 1 1 1   1   1     7
Belarus
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