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EY have been sole sponsors of the ITEM Club for 25 years. It is the only non-governmental forecasting group to use HM Treasury's model of the UK economy. Our reports provide a detailed economic analysis and forecast of economic activity for the period ahead. They are independent of any political, economic or business bias.

EY ITEM Club is part of Economics for Business, which provides knowledge, analysis and insight to help businesses understand the economic environments in which they operate, both in the UK and within the Global economy.


Quarterly UK Forecast

EY ITEM Club Summer Forecast 2016

Summer 2016

The world post-Brexit: The UK economy faces a short, sharp shock, but exports offer a silver lining .


Special reports

EY ITEM Club Special Report on Consumer Spending February 2016

Special Report on Consumer Spending

One last hurrah for UK consumers in 2016 before household incomes are severely squeezed next year.


Quarterly Financial Services Forecast

EY ITEM Club Outlook for Financial Services Winter 2015-16

Winter 2015-16

The UK financial services industry is set for a stronger year, as the appetite for business and household borrowing increases.


Scotland Forecasts

EY Scottish ITEM Club Summer update 2016

Summer Update 2016

Scotland’s economic growth in 2016 is predicted to be the poorest since 2012.