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EY have been sole sponsors of the ITEM Club for 25 years. It is the only non-governmental forecasting group to use HM Treasury's model of the UK economy. Our reports provide a detailed economic analysis and forecast of economic activity for the period ahead. They are independent of any political, economic or business bias.

EY ITEM Club is part of Economics for Business, which provides knowledge, analysis and insight to help businesses understand the economic environments in which they operate, both in the UK and within the Global economy.


Quarterly UK Forecast

EY ITEM Club Winter Forecast 2015-16

Winter 2015-16

Consumer spending will continue to drive GDP growth, but growth to slow from 2017.


Special reports

EY ITEM Club Special Report on Business Investment September 2015

Special Report on Business Investment September 2015

The UK economy will avoid the threat of stagnation, with business investment levels to reach a record high.

EY ITEM Club Summer Budget Preview Report 2015

Special EY ITEM Club Summer Budget Preview Report 2015

New fiscal rules could pose significant risks to UK economic growth.


Quarterly Financial Services Forecast

EY ITEM Club Outlook for Financial Services Summer 2015

Summer 2015

The ITEM Club outlook for FS sees encouraging economic growth, but changes announced in the Summer Budget present both challenges and opportunities for financial services.


Scotland Forecasts

EY Scottish ITEM Club Forecast 2016

Forecast 2016

Scotland’s economic growth needs to find a better balance.