If 2020 marked a tumultuous year for the majority of the world, oil and gas was arguably one of the hardest hit sectors. The short-term issues it faced were cumulative and unforgiving.
First, Russia and Saudi Arabia had a dramatic, and very public, dispute at the OPEC meeting in Vienna, where they failed to agree on the reimposition of oil production limits. This sparked an oil price war. The resulting fall in price was then exacerbated, as the impact of widespread COVID-19 lockdowns caused a slump in demand, with oil consumption dropping by around 20 million barrels per day. The price for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) attracted worldwide attention in April, when it went negative for the first time, trading at around negative $371.
Faced with this confluence of challenges, the sector is estimated to have lost $1 trillion of revenues in 20202.
“In terms of financial performance, last year was the most challenging of the past 30 for oil and gas,” says Andy Brogan, EY Global Oil & Gas Leader. “The sector suddenly had this two-fold, short-term cash-flow management issue — the price of what the sector produced dropped, as did the absolute amount of what it sold.
“Capital providers invest in the sector primarily because it has transparent cash flows that get distributed to them on a fairly regular basis. But because of these pressures, the industry just hasn’t produced the cash it’s used to.”
While the industry is now showing signs of recovery, with commodity prices returning to sustainable levels, oil and gas companies have been left reeling by the impact, and this has amplified calls to reduce costs across the sector.
The bigger transformation picture
At the same time, there are other, equally serious, medium to long-term challenges in the pipeline — which already existed prior to the COVID-19 crisis — and these are exerting further pressure on oil and gas companies to change.
First, there’s the looming energy transition. The world is currently following a clear path from carbon-intense to renewable sources of energy, which will have a telling impact on the future of fossil fuels. Faced with constrained demand, oil and gas companies will have to transform into energy companies, producing, processing and selling greener fuels too.
Meanwhile, those companies are facing investor pressure to decarbonize their own operations. They will have to become more efficient, more sustainable and cleaner, reducing the carbon intensity of their processes, and introducing systems of carbon capture and storage.
“The industry has to manage this transition in its capital base,” says Derek Leith, EY Global Oil & Gas Tax Leader. “Going from asset classes in which it has a competitive advantage, to new asset classes where it has a lot less experience. All while reinventing its existing asset base to be cleaner and cheaper to run, and with less cash flow coming through the door.”
The digitalization challenge
In addition to the need to transform their operating models, the second longer-term driver of change is digitization. And it is here tax and finance functions come under specific pressures that will be felt more broadly across the business.
Tax authorities have been incredibly nimble in adopting technology to boost their revenue enforcement. Increasing numbers of jurisdictions are demanding that tax information is provided electronically, in real time, and tax and finance functions in the sector have realized their existing, often outdated, ERP systems don’t provide the data they need to keep up.
Failure to adapt may lead to increasing scrutiny, greater tax controversy and reputational damage — and even greater costs. As it is, oil and gas companies estimate they will spend an average $9.4 million on digital tax filing compliance over the next five years3, according to the EY Tax and Finance Operate (TFO) 2020 survey.
This focus on compliance may also draw their talent away from doing the work that matters — on average, oil and gas companies spend 65% of their time on routine compliance work and would prefer to spend much less time doing so4. Meanwhile, 89% of oil and gas companies anticipate an increase in their workload to meet digital tax filing requirements5. As much of this work is retrospective in nature, rather than creating any new value, it can feel like treading water.
“If you’re running a tax function on a tight budget and you want value, it’s surely infinitely better to employ a talented team to look forward, not back,” says Leith.