After almost a decade of negotiation, 15 countries – including two of the world’s three largest economies – have finally come together and agreed to create the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), a multilateral free trade pact with the aim of reducing tariffs and streamlining regulations.
The RCEP broadens and deepens engagement of 10 Southeast Asian nations' (Singapore, Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, the Philippines and Vietnam) with Australia, China, Japan, Korea, and New Zealand.
This historic trade deal, signed in November 2020, has a clear and simple mission: to establish a comprehensive, high-quality and modern partnership for members to expand regional trade and investment. Given the agreement’s scope – the 15 Asia-Pacific signatory countries account for about 30% of the world’s population and gross domestic product (GDP) – few would question its potential contribution to long-term global and regional economic growth. The Peterson Institute for International Economics, for example, estimates that the deal would increase RCEP members’ real income by U$S174b, or 0.4% of their aggregate GDP, in 2030.
But the significance of this agreement goes beyond headline economic figures. From a geopolitical perspective, it will help Asia-Pacific overtake the European Union as the worlds’ biggest trading bloc. For companies and investors who will have to navigate this seismic shift in the world’s economic center of gravity, it is equally important to begin assessing how the impact may trickle down to specific industries.
Financial services will be one of the sectors benefiting significantly from this agreement because part of the RCEP agenda deals specifically with financial service liberalization. Trade policy reforms commonly implement these measures to remove regulations, either quantitative or qualitative, that discriminate against foreign financial services providers (FSPs) and domestic FSPs in the areas of market entry and commercial presence.
But why would the removal of discriminatory regulations be of such importance to Asia-Pacific’s financial services industry? To start with, some financial products and services in the region are highly localized and, in some markets, underutilized.
For example, the average banking penetration among ASEAN nations is about 50%, compared with the near 100% of the more mature RCEP bloc markets such as New Zealand and Australia. Other services, including payments, lending and insurance, face similar scenarios, underscoring potential massive market opportunities.