6 minute read 10 Mar 2021
Young woman checking production line on a conveyor belt

How to build resilient supply chains in times of crisis

By Sean Harapko

EY Americas Supply Chain Transformation and Global Supply Chain RPA leader

Passionate about friends and family both in and out of work. Husband and father surrounded by girls. Outdoor adventure seeker. Big supporter of the military and military community.

Contributors
6 minute read 10 Mar 2021

Achieving supply chain excellence takes a combination of principles, technology and dedication. Learn more from P&G’s supply chain journey.

Three questions to ask
  • Is your supply chain able to quickly detect and respond to crises?
  • Are you using digital technologies to improve supply chain resiliency?
  • How can you apply the larger elements of a solid supply chain foundation to facilitate agility?

The COVID-19 crisis exposed the vulnerabilities of supply chains engineered primarily for cost and speed. These supply chain models were not flexible enough to detect and quickly respond to volatile changes in supply and demand, thus leaving decision-makers flatfooted and unable to adapt as conditions changed daily.

The rewards of a resilient supply chain are both economic and social. When supplier status and the flow of goods can be monitored in real-time, businesses can better control costs, reduce risks and maximize throughput more effectively — all while meeting sustainability targets.

And for businesses involved in pandemic-related production (medicine, personal protective equipment (PPE), cleaning supplies, etc.), the benefits to society at large are extensive. As consumers clamored for COVID-19 crisis relief supplies, companies that could respond to spikes in demand in an agile manner reaped significant rewards in terms of market share. Technologies, such as digital twin, internet of things and control tower functionality helped these companies gather real-time insights on supply and demand and then incorporate these findings into daily forecasts and operational dashboards.

The role of digital in the supply chain

Visibility across the supply chain includes capabilities to sense or predict supply and demand, processes for collaboration with suppliers and customers and ways to assess and measure supplier-risk in near real time. The role of visibility cannot be understated: a 2019 EY supply chain survey of 500 executives across the Americas showed that end-to-end visibility was ranked as the top factor in creating a successful supply chain.

Building these digital capabilities starts with making sure supply chain data is accurate, timely and secure — no easy task for chief information officers and chief data officers. In addition, investments in digital twin, control tower technology, internet of things, and shop floor technologies can make a critical difference in bringing about the digital supply chain.

A 2019 EY supply chain survey of 500 executives showed that end-to-end visibility was ranked as the top factor in creating a successful supply chain.

A digital twin is a virtual model of the physical supply chain. It helps supply chain leaders model what-if scenarios using numerous variables and presumed operating conditions. Digital twins enable smart real-time decisions to optimize the supply chain during regular operations — and can serve as a form of continuity planning in the event of a crisis.

Control tower functionality leverages AI and machine learning to anticipate supply chain interruptions and react to real-time disruptions in supply. Companies can then deploy resources as needed to encourage suppliers to shift production from one product to another, monitor supplier financial risk and update contingency planning and forecast on a per-minute basis.

The internet of things uses devices and sensors across the supply chain to monitor and track events. These sensors are found inside instrumentation on factory production lines, in wearable medical and location monitors and even through distribution/logistics systems to track goods, including perishable items. Event collection, data-integration technologies and analytics are crucial in making data arriving from hundreds of thousands of sensors throughout the supply chain actionable.

For manufacturing companies, the shop floor is the linchpin of the supply chain. When something goes wrong there, the disruption cascades far and wide. One of the immediate benefits of a digitally amplified supply chain is that leading practices and “in-the-trenches” wisdom from the shop floor can be effectively captured and utilized. This increases resiliency during a crisis such as COVID-19, when management staff might be absent. Operators on a digitally enabled shop floor also have more autonomy and can more easily physically distance from supervisors. Coaching can happen remotely as needed.

Beyond the shop floor, supply chain transformation helps break down organizational silos to reduce redundancies and other inefficiencies. A digital supply chain connects seamlessly to other parts of the business: finance, sales, real estate and so on. This helps companies manage costs and avoid unnecessary capital expenditures.

One of the immediate benefits of a digitally amplified supply chain is that leading practices and "in the trenches" wisdom from the shop floor can be effectively captured and utilized.

Ultimately, the most efficient and resilient supply chains are, in effect, networked ecosystems of suppliers, distributors, retailers and every other partner to the manufacturer. Digital enablement of the supply chain for the long term also pays dividends during a crisis.

Demonstrating resilience

Global consumer goods giant Procter & Gamble (P&G) has fine-tuned supply chain management so effectively over the last decade that they’ve been able to significantly reduce supply chain costs while improving results and supporting a growing business. And when the disruption of COVID-19 hit, they weren’t caught off balance. Not only did P&G persevere, the company’s supply chain model was agile enough to shift some manufacturing lines to the production of PPE, to be donated globally.

So, what are the elements of a solid supply chain foundation from which agility can emerge? Julio Nemeth, P&G Chief Product Supply Officer, says: "[First,] you have to start with the conviction that the supply chain is a driver of innovation. If the supply chain’s only job is making, packing and shipping, then its potential is limited. You must embark on a journey to make the supply chain an engine for total shareholder return."

If the supply chain’s only job is making, packing and shipping, then its potential is limited.
Julio Nemeth
P&G Chief Product Supply Officer

Across the entire supply chain, digital made a significant difference in P&G’s response to the COVID-19 crisis. The company’s supply chain model included self-sufficient supply chain teams that could operate without a manager on premises and could be physically fragmented as needed for social distancing.

Nemeth points out that supply chain resiliency does not require large stockpiles of inventory or safety stock. And adding additional production capacity “just to be more resilient” can have exactly the opposite effect. “Resiliency is not something you install,” he says. For P&G, supply chain resiliency is about minimizing the time needed to get back to normal performance (e.g., service levels, costs, cash generations and more) when disruption occurs.

When crisis hits an area of the global economy, it spreads and affects companies across the entire supplier ecosystem, from tier one and down, and often in unforeseen ways. Sophisticated systems for sensing demand, tracking and tracing are helpful for maneuvering, as are business continuity plans to keep things running during disruption. However, the real path to resilience resides in high-performing teams using collaborative processes and advanced technologies to counter the rising vulnerability of global supply chains.

  • Case study: building supply chain resiliency for dairy

    A large global dairy company recently strengthened its supply chain to reduce costs, tighten (already stringent) quality and safety controls, and optimize overall operations. The company operates manufacturing facilities worldwide and processes more than 5 billion gallons of milk annually.

    Shifting consumer preferences and perceptions around dairy types and increasing demand for the freshest products were straining old models. And these changes took place across supply chains that were extraordinarily sensitive due to the limited shelf life of most dairy products.

    Leveraging EY Smart Factory supported by P&G’s Integrated Work System, the company improved supply chain performance metrics in numerous areas:

    • De-bottlenecking
    • Conversion costs
    • Quality incidents
    • Yield loss
    • Productivity
    • Staff capability

    Efficiency improvements have already been significant. A whey plant saw a 33% increase in overall equipment efficiency (OEE), with a related 38% increase in throughput. A cheese site saw an 18% OEE boost, with a 40% improvement in productivity.

    Ultimately, supply chain optimization efforts may yield $120 million+ earnings before interest and taxes contribution annually. More important, it will help the company stay competitive and resilient in a rapidly changing sector within the food industry.

The views of third parties set out in this publication are not necessarily the views of the global EY organization or its member firms. Moreover, they should be seen in the context of the time they were made.

Summary

Supply chain resilience is more than just adding capacity or arranging for alternate suppliers in times of crisis. Instead, resilience entails the hard work of business continuity and scenario planning, detecting signals for potential disruption, creating a high-performance culture, adopting digital technologies and moving in an agile manner to respond to market needs when crises occur.

About this article

By Sean Harapko

EY Americas Supply Chain Transformation and Global Supply Chain RPA leader

Passionate about friends and family both in and out of work. Husband and father surrounded by girls. Outdoor adventure seeker. Big supporter of the military and military community.

Contributors