UK economic forecasts
The EY ITEM Club is a leading UK economic forecasting group.
We produce quarterly economic UK forecasts, special reports and forecasts for Scotland and the financial services sector. We also deliver daily analysis on UK economic data.
EY has been sole sponsor of the ITEM Club for 25 years. It is the only non-governmental forecasting group to use HM Treasury's model of the UK economy. Our reports provide a detailed economic analysis and forecast of economic activity for the period ahead. They are independent of any political, economic or business bias.
EY ITEM Club is part of Economics for Business, which provides knowledge, analysis and insight to help businesses understand the economic environments they operate in.
Our latest quarterly forecast
EY ITEM Club Autumn Forecast 2018
Can the economy overcome heightened Brexit uncertainties?Read more
Explore our insights
Latest UK forecast
Autumn 2018: Can the economy overcome heightened Brexit uncertainties?
Bi-annual Financial Services forecast
Summer 2018: Outlook for UK FS not very encouraging, but cooperation will weather the storm.
EY Scottish ITEM Club Summer Update 2018
A mixed outlook for Scotland with economic growth gathering momentum but still not matching the UK.
Special Report on Consumer Spending
UK consumer spending growth more than halved to 1.4% in 2017 from 2.9% in 2016 – the smallest increase since 2011.
Special report on business investment
October 2017: Securing a transitional agreement with the EU is critical for the UK’s business investment outlook.
View our previous special reports which focus on the labour market, consumer spending and other topics.
Economics for Business
View all our economic insights which provide knowledge and analysis to help businesses understand the economic environments they operate in.Find out more