In Europe, active ETFs have also grown substantially, with inflows reaching EUR 19.1 billion in 2024, up from EUR 6.7 billion in 2023, and accounting for 7.7 % of total ETFs, up from 4.6 % in 2023. Assets in active ETFs grew to EUR 54.4 billion from EUR 29.6 billion in 2023, representing 2.5 % of total ETF assets (according to Morningstar’s review of the European ETF fund market for the fourth quarter of 2024).9
Challenges
The active ETF market has meanwhile become as diverse as the UCITS fund market. The span reaches various asset classes and strategies. This includes research enhanced indexing, as well as unconstrained and thematic strategies.
On top of that, active ETFs can also partly reduce the limitations of market-cap indices that are tracked by passive ETFs. Under a market-cap index approach, the biggest companies in an equity index and biggest debt issuers in a bond index have more influence as they constitute a higher percentage in the index. Active ETFs provide the flexibility to tap into entire equity and bond markets, opening up the potential for opportunities to diversify risk and add alpha.
Direct competition with traditional funds
The biggest challenge is that active ETFs are in direct competition with traditional (active) funds. However, Morningstar revealed that active ETFs would not appear to be perfect substitutes for traditional funds as active strategies typically sold in ETFs do not exhibit the full flexibility of a traditional active fund.10 Active ETFs must keep tracking error against the benchmark within acceptable levels, which can constrain their ability to fully capitalize on market opportunities. Further, they must contain turnover and management costs, limiting operational flexibility.
The risk of cannibalizing the existing traditional fund range
Nevertheless, active ETFs are becoming increasingly important to investors, a trend that management companies cannot neglect. Yet, while firms look to increase their ETF market share, they cannot ignore the risk of "cannibalizing" their existing active fund ranges. This concern arises from the direct competition posed by active ETFs and the price gap versus the traditional fund range.
The cost conversation
The cannibalism effect becomes more concerning when costs are taken into consideration for actively managed traditional funds. In addition to paying the portfolio manager's salary, the management fee covers the cost of the investment manager's staff, research, technical equipment and travel expenses (e.g., to send analysts to meet corporate management). While fees vary, the average cost for actively managed traditional equity funds is 1.40% (on a one-year basis and excluding subscription and redemption fees).11
According to Morningstar as cited by Fidelity, the average ETF expense ratio in 2024 was 0.48% and 0.69% for index and active ETFs,12 compared with the average expense ratio of 0.60% for traditional index funds and 0.89% (up to 2%) for actively managed traditional funds.13 Expense ratios eat into the returns of funds, so the lower the expense ratio, the better for the investor.
Performance
Looking at aforementioned figures, it becomes clear that the cannibalism fear (active ETF instead of active traditional funds) is justified even more if the active management does not outperform the benchmark. According to research by rating agency Scope, on average only 19.1% of active equity funds across the globe outperformed their benchmark in 202414 (down from 23.3% in 2023).15 16
Turning point
As in other industries that have suffered such competition effects before (e.g., automobiles), there are, as always, opportunities to embrace challenges and channel the competition.
Strategies to avoid direct competition:
- Distinct customers: Market the active ETF to a clientele that is different from their mutual fund counterparts. Slightly alternate strategies can be offered as well as, for example, AI-driven strategies (in contrast to a portfolio manager delivered strategy)
- Other product line: Offer a new ETF with an investment strategy that is different from their current traditional fund strategies. For example, this could be a solely sector-driven bet instead of a “full allocation” bet that would be used on the traditional fund side or an ESG strategy versus a non-ESG approach
- Convert: Convert some of the existing traditional funds into active transparent ETFs
- Competitor consolidation: Explore strategic mergers with and acquisitions of alternatives players to enhance market presence and diversify product offerings
Offering ETFs 100% cloned from their traditional funds bears the risk that this action may put such ETFs in direct competition with their existing funds and, with a certain likelihood, lead to cannibalization.
Without doubt the cost situation will again be the key aspect in this situation, taking into consideration that portfolio manager and research costs are dominant factors in the equation.
Generally, the anticipated growth of active ETFs will add pressure on the cost-to-income ratio as the trend towards lower fees is unlikely to diminish.
What is the way forward?
For example, in the wealth management or advisory sector with existing clientele (which is actively seeking advice and willing to follow the instruments proposed by the advisor), it can be imagined that traditional actively managed funds will still play an important role for advisors (due to the internal sales scheme and because advice is often not charged separately in certain regions). Flow diversification from different clientele can also benefit investment management companies even if the flows are not for the same fund but are for other portfolios with the same holdings.
Nevertheless, the trend is clearly running in the direction of active ETFs and investment management companies should consider this in their forward-planning. ETFs can be established as an additional offer alongside the traditional fund line; however, it should be clear that the development is expected to increasingly favor lower fees and more transparency, which are advantageous for active ETFs.
If both product lines coexist, it is crucial to establish strategies to mitigate direct competition. Some potential strategies could include: