Leaders don’t expect this volatility to abate in the near future. More than half (57%) expect geopolitical and economic uncertainty to last longer than a year, with nearly a quarter (24%) forecasting longer than three years, according to the September 2025 EY-Parthenon CEO Outlook Survey.
Critical infrastructure — for utilities, transportation, communications and energy — can be impacted by geopolitical volatility when targeted by state-sponsored cyberattacks. These attacks ramp up tensions but don’t usually lead to conventional warfare, making them a popular method to prod a foe without declaring war. For businesses, critical infrastructure outages can lead to factory downtime, supply chain and transportation disruptions, physical asset damage and more.
These same pieces of public infrastructure can also be second-order victims of cyberattacks when a third-party supplier is targeted. Cybercriminals might be incentivized to target businesses that support high-profile pieces of infrastructure — like airports or train systems — to build public pressure for a quick fix that may come from a ransom payment.
Regulatory volatility also impacts cybersecurity for organizations. “Politics are realigning and growing more polarized, increasing the likelihood of significant swings in policy from one election to the next,” said Catherine Friday, EY Global Government & Infrastructure Industry Leader.
When it comes to regulation, the cyberspace is not borderless. So, for multinational companies, the picture is especially complex. This is currently in focus with AI regulation, which is at different stages in different parts of the world, resulting in an ever-changing patchwork of policies to comply with.
“Multinational companies face complex cybersecurity, AI, data and other technology regulations from multiple jurisdictions,” Piotr Ciepiela, EY Global Government and Infrastructure Cyber Leader, said. “The smartest companies design compliance into their technology, so they can respond to regulatory volatility with adjustments, not overhauls.”
4. Interconnected
Organizations thrive when they form strong partnerships with suppliers. Cybercrime thrives on large attack surfaces, like those formed by an interconnected ecosystem of third parties with varying levels of cybersecurity maturity.
As organizations build internal AI functions, most rely on third parties for large language models (LLMs), since building LLMs from scratch is expensive and requires massive compute resources.
This hybrid approach to AI development — rapid development of internal tools using external resources — is no different from how other internal technologies are developed. But the tradeoff is increased cybersecurity risk. According to the 2025 EY Global Third-Party Risk Management Survey, TPRM programs scan for cybersecurity risk more often than any other risk.
Organizational complexity is also increasing. “In a world where organizations are becoming more complex and interconnected, within a cyber landscape that is ever-changing, the stakes for CISOs are raised. They not only need to ensure that enterprise-wide AI initiatives are secure, but they also need to secure their ecosystem in collaboration with third parties,” Rudrani Djwalapersad, EY Global Cyber Risk and Cyber Resilience Lead, said.
Just within the cybersecurity function, organizations use an average of 47 tools, according to EY research. On an even more granular level, employees recognize risks in their AI experimentation: EY research (via ey.com US) found that 39% of them are not confident in using AI responsibly.