What the 2025 data tells us
In 2025, Romania’s real estate market was estimated at EUR 1.16 trillion, reflecting a 2.2% year‑on‑year increase, driven primarily by residential price evolution. Residential properties accounted for approximately 75% of total market value, with commercial real estate (office buildings, retail spaces, warehouses, and industrial properties) representing the remaining 25%. While residential growth remained the key volume driver, commercial assets continued to anchor investment activity and transaction value.
Romania closed the year with approximately 8 million sqm of industrial stock, 4.7 million sqm of modern retail space, and 3.4 million sqm of modern office space in Bucharest. Notably, no new office deliveries were completed in 2025, a first for the capital, reinforcing rental stability and limiting downward pressure on values.
Prime retail rents in Bucharest stabilized at EUR 80–85/sqm/month, reflecting strong tenant demand for dominant shopping centers. Industrial rents softened slightly to EUR 3.8–4.8/sqm/month, driven by increased supply and more cautious occupier sentiment. Across sectors, yields remained broadly stable, signaling continued investor confidence in income‑generating Romanian assets.
Real estate at the core of Romanian M&A
Real estate, hospitality and construction (REH&C) once again ranked as the most active sector by deal count in Romania, leading M&A activity for the third consecutive year. In 2025, the sector recorded 56 transactions with limited transparency, as approximately 70% of Romanian M&A transactions lacked disclosed value.
As a result, publicly disclosed aggregate deal value for REH&C cannot be robustly confirmed, and year‑on‑year value growth for the sector should be interpreted with caution.
Capital remained diversified, with the United Kingdom ranking as the leading inbound investor country, followed by Romania and the Czech Republic. While local capital accounted for 27% of total investment, international investors continued to dominate larger transactions, intensifying competition for high‑quality assets and portfolios. Important external players, such as M Core (retail sector), CPI Property Group (Office and Retail sector) or Granit (Office sector) continued to show interest in Romanian real estate market, as well as local investors, such as Pavăl Holding (Office sector).
By subsector, logistics, retail parks and hospitality stood out as the most attractive segments. Investors showed a clear preference for scalable platforms, dominant regional assets and properties with stable, inflation‑linked cash flows. Activity in secondary cities gained momentum, supported by favorable yield differentials and lower competitive intensity compared to Bucharest.
Outlook for 2026
Looking ahead, the outlook for 2026 remains constructive but increasingly selective.
The commercial real estate segment is forecast to grow at approximately 1.2% per annum for the next 3-5 years, a more moderate pace than residential, but one that reflects a maturing and more disciplined market.
Industrial and logistics assets are expected to remain a key focus, supported by nearshoring trends, manufacturing expansion and EU‑funded infrastructure investment.
Retail is entering a new development cycle, with approximately 700,000 sqm of modern retail space expected to be delivered over the next five years, largely outside Bucharest. These dynamics create opportunities, but also heighten execution risk, particularly around location selection, tenant mix and capital structuring.
For investors and corporates alike, success will depend on pricing discipline, asset quality differentiation, ESG alignment and access to financing. Deal timelines are likely to remain extended, and transactions increasingly complex, particularly for platform acquisitions, mixed‑use developments and portfolio restructurings.