Why Swiss businesses should care
The implications of the new US-EU joint statement for the Swiss export-oriented economy need to be carefully parsed, given the magnitude of the potential benefits for some businesses and disadvantages for others. On the one hand, the deal raises the risk for some Swiss exporters that supply chain interdependence will work against them. While the negotiated criteria in the agreement could actually help Swiss companies evaluate whether relocating parts of their production makes sense, stricter direct transportation rules are likely to be enforced. This could limit the ability of Swiss companies to store EU goods in Switzerland for re-export to the United States while still benefiting from preferential tariffs.
Currently, under non-preferential origin, it is relatively easy for Swiss companies to export EU goods from Switzerland. Going forward, to preserve tariff benefits, storage may only be possible under customs supervision in bonded warehouses, which would add costs and reduce flexibility. And while the recent US decision to apply the same tariff rate to Swiss and EU origin goods removes the duty gap, Swiss exporters will still need to meet non-preferential origin rules to qualify for the 15% tariff rate.
That said, the framework could bring tangible benefits compared to the current regime. The new rules of origin negotiated between the EU and the United States, even if imperfect from a Swiss perspective, may still offer greater recognition of Swiss inputs than the current US rules of origin. Crucially, they also provide legal certainty. Instead of grappling with ambiguous classifications and inconsistent application, producers would have a clear set of criteria to guide sourcing and production decisions. For Swiss exporting companies willing to adapt, the combination of more predictable treatment and the possibility of partial preferential access could ultimately strengthen their position in transatlantic trade.
As regards sustainability spillover, the deal shows that the EU is willing to carve out regulatory flexibilities for the United States in areas potentially critical to international trade such as the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), the Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) and the Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD). After concluding trade negotiations with Indonesia, the world’s largest exporter of palm oil, the European Commission recently announced its intention to postpone implementation of the EUDR once more by another year, bowing to concerns of its trade partners, among them Brazil, Indonesia and the United States, who argue compliance with the rules would cause unjustified costs and hurt their exports to Europe. The EU has already classified the United States – along with all EU member states – as “low risk,” exempting them from stricter due diligence checks. These developments highlight the headwinds the EU faces in implementing its sustainability policy in practice and the need to weigh up policy measures against their international trade implications.
For Swiss companies, such policy shifts raise concerns as to whether they might face comparatively greater compliance burdens if they are held to stricter sustainability reporting, due diligence or origin verification standards than US or EU companies enjoy under the new arrangement. That said, existing CBAM exemptions between the EU and Switzerland already reduce one clear channel for asymmetric treatment, while EUDR and CSDDD outcomes will depend on technical implementing rules and political choices about whether to offer any simplifications through narrowly bilateral concessions or through broader, rule-based mechanisms – a process still ongoing.
As for Swiss companies that are not integrated in EU supply chains, many are concerned that US and EU companies will gain easier market access between the two economies as a result of lower tariffs, reduced non-tariff friction and mutual recognition of standards under the agreement. Some argue that Swiss companies not covered by a comparable bilateral deal may face relatively higher trade costs, complexity and delays in both the EU and US markets. Over time, that could erode margins or market share unless Switzerland negotiates equivalent or similar access arrangements.