Why Australian fintechs are sufficiently robust to weather the coming storm

The seventh EY FinTech Australia Census finds the sector still in growth mode but facing increasingly fragile market conditions.

Despite a challenging and uncertain economic environment, the last 12 months saw Australia’s fintech sector continuing to demonstrate steady growth and increased maturity.

Fintechs are here to stay. This year’s Census found four-in-five (78%) of the fintechs surveyed at post-revenue, up from 70% in 2021. Not surprisingly, those most likely to be post-revenue are the larger and more established fintechs. Nine-in-ten (88%) fintechs in business for 3+ years, and 83% in business for 2+ years, are in the post-revenue stage. 

The number of paying customers continues to increase year-on-year among post-revenue fintechs, with 45% reporting >500 customers, up from 41% in 2021.

The percentage of fintechs post-profit remains steady at elevated levels: 30% in 2022 compared to 29% in 2021 and 20% in 2020. This is a positive sign that the sector is using its nimble digital infrastructure to maintain margins in the face of surging costs.

Despite headwinds, we are seeing more fintechs post-revenue and fintech profitability being maintained. With greater investor focus on profitability as opposed to 2021’s ‘growth at all costs’ approach, this bodes well for Australia’s fintech sector weathering future storms. Australia’s largest fintech segments continue to be payments, wallets and supply chain, followed by lending, business tools, wealth and investment, and data analytics/information management.

That said, the percentage of fintechs involved in wealth and investment, while still relatively small, increased by seven percentage points in the last year (24% versus 17% in 2021). As robo-advice, micro-investing, crypto, CDR and ESG investing take off, we expect to see wealthtech increasingly deployed in the hands of Australian financial advisors and consumers alike. Notably, wealthtech accounted for 5 of the 29 Australian fintech seed deals in the first half of fiscal 2022 .

Warning signs in the capital raising environment 

Capital raising in the sector continues to grow steadily as investors increasingly understand the importance and potential of fintechs, and the sector moves towards more mature and alternative funding strategies. However, the funding landscape is shifting.

In 2021, access to funding grew as fiscal and monetary stimulus drove demand and provided liquidity to the market. Investors knew that with the pandemic boosting business digitisation and pushing more consumers to use digital solutions, the environment was primed for fintech innovation.

This year, qualitative interviews with fintech founders and investors suggest investors are re-evaluating the market and proving more hesitant to provide, especially larger, rounds of funding. Extended due diligence, fall in valuations and increased demand for positive cash-flows combined with reduced availability of investor capital is limiting some fintech expansion plans.

Capital raising has not grown since last year, with 45% of respondents having raised more than $10m to date, in line with 44% in 2021. Payments, wallets and supply chain fintechs were the most successful, with 21% of this segment raising more than $100m, compared to the 13% sector average. Outside of founder funding (54%), capital raising was largely from venture capitalists (33%), angel investors (32%) and strategic corporate investors (29%).

However, reliance on founder funding is waning and the interest in and use of alternative funding, including government grants, is increasing. Half of the fintechs (54%) surveyed reported private funding from founders, compared to up to 75% in earlier surveys. One-in-five cite government grants (including the R&D tax incentive) as a source of funding, highlighting the importance of the R&D tax incentive as part of the funding for growth equation.

In the last 12 months, a rising number of fintechs (29% versus 18% in 2021) failed to meet their capital raising expectations. Also, the proportion exceeding their capital raising requirements decreased slightly (17% versus 21% in 2021). Qualitative interviews revealed an increasingly challenging landscape for newer startups to raise capital to grow quickly. However, early stage fintechs are still being rewarded if they can showcase profitable growth. Fintechs with longer runways and a clear path to profit are also continuing to attract funding.

As expected, business valuations at the last round of funding vary across the industry. The majority (64%) were valued at $50m or less, 29% between $50.1m to $1b and 7% at more than $1b. Some in the sector believe the valuation bubble has already or is about to burst, setting the stage for a dramatic uptick in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) or initial public offerings (IPOs), and a rapid round of industry consolidation. 

EY’s Global Q3 IPO Trends report supports this view. In the 2022 calendar year to date, Asia-Pacific has registered year-on-year declines of 25% by deal number and 22% by deal size. M&A activity remains strong in the background as companies evaluate their options for 2023, anticipating more favourable market conditions. Providing that market uncertainties and volatility subside, the launch of long-awaited blockbuster IPOs, together with improved after-market returns, may attract an M&A uptick despite lower valuations compared to the highs of 2021.

Confidence falls on international expansion plans

Compared to last year, although the percentage of local fintechs generating revenue from overseas remained steady (40%), local confidence waned around Australia’s competitiveness in the global fintech arena. The percentage of survey respondents who believe Australian fintechs are internationally competitive fell to 69% from 80% in 2021, putting the sector’s confidence almost back to 2019 levels. Confidence that Australian fintechs can win against international fintechs also fell to 57% from 67% in 2021.

However, this local perception contrasts with anecdotal evidence from overseas investors and fintechs, for whom Australia’s fintech sector and market opportunity remains highly attractive and competitive. From an overseas investor and global fintech landscape perspective, Australia has a deep talent pool, sophisticated, innovative financial and consumer markets, and an evolving regulatory environment, making it comparatively a great place to develop innovative fintech businesses with the potential for global scale.

Census data tells us that fintechs are natural exporters, creating products and solutions for global markets from day one. According to this year’s data, of Australian fintechs that generate revenue overseas, 43% earn more than half of their revenue from overseas sales.

For the fintechs planning overseas expansion in the next three years, the US, UK and New Zealand remain the top three most attractive markets. Last year, New Zealand was by far the top international destination to expand to in the coming year, as fintechs sought expansion closer to home during the challenges of the pandemic. However, in line with previous years, New Zealand is now back on a largely equal footing with the US and UK in terms of expansion in the next three years. Singapore remains an attractive market, potentially on the back of Austrade’s focus on fintechs for its Landing Pads Program to facilitate trade flow and access, proving that government investment and incentives can have a multiplier effect and boost confidence.  

Top markets for international expansion in the next 3 years

In 2022, Canada’s place in the top five was confirmed, with fintechs beginning to see an increasingly greater scope when compared to the saturated US market. In contrast to the US, where every state has its own regulations and licenses, Canada is seen as close but a more startup friendly environment with fewer well-established competitors.

Attracting and retaining talent remains a top priority

Attracting and retaining staff from within Australia continues to be at least somewhat of a challenge according to 85% of respondents. Consistent with 2021, the scarcest areas of talent across the industry are engineering/software (66%), data engineer/data scientist (40%), product management (29%) and sales (29%). Anecdotally, the toughest roles to fill are those at the mid/senior level.

Respondents say the top three challenges or inhibitors to attracting and retaining talent are rising employee salaries (66%), access to skilled domestic workers (58%) and competition from big tech (52%). Challenges attracting and retaining talent is a phenomenon that is not unique to fintechs. It’s a top challenge across sectors and geographies globally with the highly cyclical technology sector particularly impacted.

Fintechs are aware that tech talent is less interested in equity or pay, and more in the experience a firm can give them. To this point, hybrid working is prevalent, with 89% of fintechs choosing this popular model. The vast majority (87%) of fintechs have a physical office location, but only 8% support purely office-based work. 

Some are also pragmatic that, in the wake of the likely industry consolidation, talent will disperse to those surviving the downturn – temporarily easing the talent crisis. The super-strong jobs market may already be plateauing, with job vacancy numbers starting to stabilise.

How should the ecosystem respond? 

As Australia struggles to avoid a recession, fintechs will play a vital role in an innovation-led recovery – a key enabler to unlocking value from the local and global economies. But to help the sector remain vibrant and reach its potential, every part of the ecosystem needs to play its part. This includes:

Collaboration essential to maintain fintech growth momentum

Australia’s vibrant fintech ecosystem has demonstrated rapid growth and achieved international success. In the last funding round, the majority (64%) of local fintechs were valued at $50 million or less, 29% between $50.1 million to $1 billion and 7% at more than $1 billion. Our global fintech ranking has risen to second in the Asia-Pacific region and sixth in the world. The impact of the Australian fintech sector has never been clearer, with regulators and governments actively looking at the sector’s impact on innovation, competition, jobs and growth in Australia and on international exports.

But, as investors become more risk averse, access to talent becomes tighter, and in the face of mounting macroeconomic and market uncertainty, the sector will need support to remain competitive and drive sustainable growth.

Government and regulators have a role to play as a multiplier, including opening up access to existing grants and targeted incentives for investors and business, designed in consultation with the industry. Fintechs themselves can also improve sector resilience and sustainable growth through partnerships with each other and across sectors, investing back into the ecosystem, strengthening their ESG capabilities, ensuring technology and operations are scalable, planning for international growth and opening up the talent pool by considering diverse and alternative hiring strategies. 

Thank you to everyone who contributed to the 2022 Fintech Census, helping to build this vital dataset for our rapidly maturing ecosystem.