Rows of illuminated server racks in a data center

Powering Australia’s digital surge: how Data Centre growth is reshaping the future of the grid

Australia is entering a pivotal moment in its digital and energy transition. The rapid expansion of artificial intelligence (AI), cloud services and real time data processing is driving an unprecedented rise in Data Centre (DC) demand, and the effects are cascading across the entire energy ecosystem.


In brief:

  • Data Centre energy demand is forecast to rise from approximately 4 TWh in 2025 to 21.4 TWh by 2035, fuelled by AI and hyperscale cloud growth.
  • New DC developments represent multiple gigawatts of continuous load, with major capacity clusters forming in Sydney, Melbourne, Perth and emerging regional hubs.
  • Australia’s existing energy system — built for traditional industrial loads — faces constraints in transmission capacity, distribution networks and system strength.
  • Site selection is becoming one of the most strategic decisions for operators, directly affecting connection timeframes, cost, and access to renewables.
  • With the right reforms and investment models, Data Centre expansion can help accelerate renewable generation, storage deployment and shared network upgrades.

1. Demand is growing faster than infrastructure

Data Centres have become one of the fastest growing components of Australia’s electricity demand profile. The drivers include:

  • Expansion of hyperscale cloud regions
  • Increased use of AI and machine learning models
  • Rising data sovereignty requirements
  • Growth in streaming, analytics and near real time services

Across multiple independent studies, the evidence is consistent: Australia is on a steep trajectory leading to gigawatt scale digital load. This shift is redefining how planners, regulators and investors think about peak demand, renewable integration and long term system design.

2. Four structural challenges shaping the next decade

The analysis from EY-Parthenon highlights four core challenges that will determine how effectively Australia manages this transformation.

1. Locational dependence: energy access as a competitive advantage

Data Centres require highly reliable, high‑capacity connections — often with access to firmed renewable energy. However, the ability to secure this depends heavily on where a facility is located.

Key factors include:

  • Proximity to strong transmission nodes
  • Marginal loss factors (MLFs)
  • Local congestion in renewable energy zones
  • Water availability
  • Interconnection queue times

As a result, Melbourne is emerging as a major growth region as Sydney’s network becomes increasingly constrained.

A well‑coordinated approach can allow Data Centres to anchor new renewable projects and stimulate network upgrades. Poor coordination risks congestion, delays and increased costs for surrounding communities.

2. Equity in local energy allocation: balancing community and industry needs

Large, always‑on digital loads can reshape local consumption patterns and raise community concerns such as:

  • Rising network costs
  • Strain on water systems
  • Environmental and cultural impacts
  • Prioritisation of supply during grid stress

If cost allocation is poorly structured, residential and small business customers could bear the burden of new infrastructure.

However, if designed well, Data Centres can reduce per‑unit network charges by spreading fixed costs across a larger consumption base, creating a positive affordability outcome.

In addition to high energy demand, modern Data Centres also require significant volumes of water for cooling, making local water security and sustainable supply essential considerations in site planning.

3. Grid‑infrastructure constraints: a system under strain

The Australian grid faces simultaneous pressures:

  • Distribution networks are reaching thermal capacity
  • Transmission networks experience daytime congestion from rooftop solar
  • System‑strength gaps limit the ability to integrate new generation or large loads

AEMO estimates that 6,000 km of new transmission and significant investment in storage will be required to keep pace with energy transition and digital‑load growth.

Without accelerated reform, new connections may face several‑year delays, impacting Australia's attractiveness for hyperscale investment.

4. Limited flexibility in the absence of storage

Battery and pumped‑hydro storage play a critical role in:

  • Balancing renewable variability
  • Supporting 24/7 compute demands
  • Reducing renewable curtailment
  • Enabling high‑renewable PPAs for Data Centre operators

Without sufficient storage, both Data Centre growth and renewable deployment become constrained.

3. Turning challenge into opportunity

If managed well, Data Centre expansion can become a catalyst for energy system modernisation. Opportunities include:

  • New renewable generation anchored by Data Centre offtake
  • Co-funded transmission and system strength projects
  • Energy-storage precincts supporting both industry and communities
  • Job creation and economic uplift in emerging regional hubs

The key is coordination — between developers, networks, energy planners and governments — to ensure investments deliver shared value and equitable outcomes.

4. How EY-Parthenon specialists assist organisations in navigating this transformation

Data Centre operators, network businesses, investors, and governments benefit from an integrated suite of capabilities offered by EY-Parthenon.

Energy Market Modelling (EY ROAM)

A product and energy consulting for all energy marketrelated scenarios, supporting the planning of asset performance, visualisation of network congestion points and assessment of risk to marginal loss factors well into the future, to help assess suitable locations and the energy mix for DC lifecycle management.

Offtake Advisory and Corporate PPA Product

A product for end-to-end Power Purchasing Agreement (PPA) lifecycle management from evaluation to ongoing performance management of the renewable energy sourcing contract to size appropriate DC load. Hourly matching of energy generation & energy consumption for carbon offsetting schemes.

Complementary support includes:

  • Data Centre site viability analysis
  • AI-driven demand and workload forecasting
  • Grid-connection and transmission readiness advisory
  • Sustainability and net-zero strategy
  • Community engagement and regulatory advisory

Teams at EY-Parthenon have worked across Australia, New Zealand, and global hyperscale markets, bringing real-world insight into the intersection of digital and energy systems

Summary

Australia’s digital surge is accelerating — and the grid must adapt just as quickly. The rise of Data Centres presents challenges, but it also offers a once in a generation opportunity to strengthen the energy system, accelerate renewable investment and build a more resilient, decarbonised future.

Energy and Technology consulting specialists at EY-Parthenon are helping industry participants navigate these shifts with confidence — turning energy constraints into pathways for sustainable, scalable growth.

About this article

Authors