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What makes a transition plan credible?
While climate transition plan frameworks differ in scope and emphasis, they are converging around a common set of building blocks. The first is scope and materiality. For a financial institution, scope should clarify which portfolios, geographies, business lines, asset classes and emissions categories are covered, including own operations and, most importantly, financed, facilitated or insured emissions due to their materiality.
Materiality should explain which climate-related impacts, risks and opportunities the plan is designed to address. This includes greenhouse gas emissions impacts, transition risks linked to policy, technology, market and macroeconomic developments, as well as physical risks linked to climate-related hazards affecting real assets and counterparties across locations. A credible plan should recognize that the frequency, intensity and financial relevance of physical hazards vary by geography, asset type and available adaptation options.
Credibility also requires clear strategic ambition. The plan should define objectives and priorities, explain how they align with relevant national or international commitments and requirements, and set out the assumptions on which the plan depends. These assumptions may include the pace of economic decarbonization, especially sector pathways.