Restructuring activity is climbing steadily across Europe, and Irish businesses will not be immune. The pressures driving this trend, from stubborn inflation to higher financing costs, supply chain friction, and geopolitical uncertainty are not short-term shocks. They are slow-burn forces that will shape the next 12–18 months across Irish and EU businesses.
For some companies, this period will be about protecting stability. For others, it could be an opportunity to restructure on favourable terms and emerge stronger. For those with the resources, it may present unexpected acquisition opportunities. Either way, preparation is key.
The European picture
The latest EY-Parthenon Restructuring Pulse Survey, drawing insights from 200 workout banking professionals in 25 countries, paints a clear picture:
- 56% reported an increase in restructuring cases in their portfolios during the second half of 2024.
- 68% expect a further rise in the first half of 2025.
- Almost half (48%) expect the peak to arrive in the second half of 2025, while 30% see it coming in 2026.
- A third (32%) expect only modest growth, with no more than a 10% increase in the first half of 2025.
This is not the kind of spike we saw in previous crises, particularly, the Global Financial Crisis in Ireland. Instead, the build-up is gradual, driven by persistent headwinds. Industrial sectors in Western and Central Europe face energy and tariff pressures, while tourism-heavy economies are still feeling the effects of changing travel patterns and higher costs.
What that means in an Irish context
The same forces are at play here in Ireland. Challenging interest rates and input costs are squeezing margins. Global supply chain blockages are still working their way through manufacturing and distribution. Consumer sentiment, while more resilient than feared, remains cautious too.
There is also the question of cross-border exposure. Many Irish companies operate within US and European supply chains or serve export markets where customers are under stress. If a key customer restructures or a partner reduces orders, the effects can ripple quickly.
At the same time, Ireland has legal and structural advantages that can help businesses manage restructuring proactively:
- Examinership: our debtor-friendly rescue process that allows companies to restructure debt and operations while continuing to trade with the existing team retaining day to day control under court protection from creditors.
- Small Company Administrative Rescue Process (SCARP): a faster, lower-cost option for SMEs, keeping it outside the courts.
- Part 9 Schemes of Arrangement: offering flexible restructuring solutions for complex cases.
- Cross-border recognition: Ireland’s legal framework and COMI rules mean it can be used for multi-jurisdictional cases, a growing trend in European restructurings.