Is the next wave of transformation on your agenda, or setting it?

By Benoit Laclau

UK&I Consulting Managing Partner, Ernst & Young LLP

Leader of EY UK&I Consulting services. Helping the world’s leading organizations to achieve business transformation. Husband. Father. Golfer. Wine enthusiast.

3 minute read 5 Jan 2021

To thrive in a post-pandemic world, businesses must act now to reframe their future.

In brief
  • The COVID-19 pandemic has put intense pressure on business operations in the UK and beyond, but its lasting legacy may be to accelerate change and highlight the importance of purpose.
  • Organisations will need to be agile and open to change so that, with economic growth set to rebound, they can make the most of the opportunities ahead.

The COVID-19 pandemic unleashed changes that seemed unthinkable this time last year. As we roll out vaccines and look beyond the pandemic, how many of its immediate effects – from remote working to unprecedented government intervention – will evolve into lasting societal impacts?

Harvard Professor Graham Allison wrote that “Coronavirus is like a flash of lightning that illuminates the landscape for a second but allows us to see some of the contours obscured by the dark”. The precise shape of those contours is not yet clear, but the themes that follow explore the likely shape of things to come in the UK and beyond.

1.  Technology transforms

COVID-19 accelerated digital adoption but also exposed inequalities

Consumer barriers to online adoption have been swept away at a stroke and many businesses have found that even the most crucial aspects of their work can be done virtually. Cognitive psychology suggests that it takes between 12 weeks and 12 months to form new habits. So we can expect this shift to digital to endure, with technology now central to strategy rather than a means to generate efficiencies.

However, this shift has not been equally positive for all. Assumptions that consumers and employees have access to multiple devices at home and on the move need to be challenged. Remote learning for children has highlighted how digital can divide us as well as bring us together – less affluent children, often lacking the technology and space to learn, have fallen further behind.

This illustrates how, in order to embrace the future, we must put humans at the centre of any transformation. The roll out of new technologies needs to be supported by behaviour-based research and an awareness of societal needs rather than solely commercial imperatives.  This will enable the adoption of new technologies at speed and scale without deepening divides. 

2. Government for good

The state will continue to play a crucial role in the years ahead

Governments around the globe have taken decisive, swift steps to limit and address the human and economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. We now look to the state not only to protect our lives but also our livelihoods. From aviation to hospitality, whole industries are impacted by government decisions.

Whilst many elements of intervention will taper down as we look beyond the pandemic, government will continue to play a significant role, from stimulating recovery to rebalancing the books through potential future tax rises. In the UK, as PM Boris Johnson navigates Brexit and outlines his plans to deliver his levelling-up agenda, everything from global trade flows to regional investment will be subject to change. Attempts to rebalance the UK economy are likely to require more than green and digital investment, with ‘bricks and mortar’ infrastructure projects also likely to feature. The commissioning of such projects may increasingly look beyond narrow economic benefits to a broader measure of public value.

Organisations across the world and in every sector will need to be attuned to the government agenda and agile enough to respond quickly. In the UK, they may also need to prepare for being more involved as the government seeks the help of business in establishing ‘Global Britain’ and continuing the crucial civic role that commerce played during the pandemic. 

Cost of government response to the coronavirus pandemic

£210bn

during the first six months of the crisis*

3. Value and values

The re-emergence of purpose to define a company’s values

Whilst purpose may previously have seemed a slightly abstract concept, during the pandemic we have more clearly seen what organisations ‘are for’.  Arguably, it was that sense of purpose that saw businesses behave in seemingly atypical ways. For example, teaming up with rivals to produce vital medical equipment at cost price.

But, whilst financial profit and loss is relatively easy to measure, other forms of value creation – which we often associate with a company’s purpose – are more difficult to quantify. To help address this, EY will continue to play a leading role in developing common tools and frameworks to measure non-financials, as we have through our work with the Embankment Project for Inclusive Capitalism (EPIC) and World Economic Forum (WEF).

In the years to come, this ability to look beyond the short-term to invest in employees, deliver value to customers, deal fairly and ethically with suppliers and support communities may increasingly be seen, not as a moral imperative, but as a way to drive performance and generate long-term value for shareholders. 

Investment decision-making

91%

of investors said that nonfinancial performance played a pivotal role in investment decision-making.*

4. The power of people

The world of work has changed forever, creating new possibilities

The resilience of our own workforce in adapting to remote working was extraordinary, but for many other workers the transition was much more difficult. The UK, like many other advanced economies, saw social inequalities deepen, with skilled white-collar employees adapting more easily to working from home, whilst younger and less skilled workers have suffered disproportionately. Better access to platforms and tools to enable this demographic to work successfully from home should be a priority.

 

As where we work becomes irrelevant and the hours during which we work become much less important, the role of the office is now up for question, with new possibilities emerging. Older workers who are unable to commute, parents who need to spend some of the working day with their children and people living on the other side of the world, will no longer have the same barriers to work. Cities may be reshaped, and towns become resurgent, offering new opportunities to fulfil the UK government’s levelling-up agenda. A more diverse workforce may be increasingly critical, commercially as well as societally, as change accelerates and traditional approaches must be replaced by new ideas and fresh thinking.

Workforce

68%

feel they are more or equally productive from home (EY Seren Research)

5. Green as a given

Momentum for climate change was already building at pace but the pandemic has accelerated it

Many feel that the pandemic’s greatest legacy will be the collective and reflective pause that the COVID-19 crisis forced on society. We see two key trends emerging here, first the acceleration of energy transition as government not only demands action but is increasingly willing to invest in and incentivise it. Public investment in green infrastructure, from renewable energy to electric vehicle charging points, can also create new jobs at all skill levels. The other trend is the growing willingness of green consumers to apply sustainability principles to everything from how they travel to who they work for and where they invest their savings. Major banks and instructional investors are already building environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors into their lending and investment criteria.

For the energy industry, declining oil prices have accelerated the value case for low carbon investments, with at least one oil major already putting net zero at the heart of its business strategy. Whilst the road to energy transition is unlikely to be smooth, the rewards – from inspiring workforces to de-risking previously unsustainable businesses – look set to make the journey worthwhile.

Forecast reduction in global emissions during 2020

-£2.4bn

tonnes of carbon dioxide*

Summary

The COVID-19 crisis has put intense pressure on business operations in the UK and beyond, but its lasting legacy may be to accelerate change and highlight the importance of purpose. Organisations will need to be agile and open to change so that, with economic growth set to rebound, they can make the most of the opportunities ahead.

About this article

By Benoit Laclau

UK&I Consulting Managing Partner, Ernst & Young LLP

Leader of EY UK&I Consulting services. Helping the world’s leading organizations to achieve business transformation. Husband. Father. Golfer. Wine enthusiast.