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We have tracked profit warnings from UK-registered companies since 1999, giving us powerful insight into business, capital and economy.
Our analysis of UK-registered companies listed on the UK’s Main Market or Alternative Investment Market provides you with insights into profit warning trends and key economic, sector and market issues facing UK businesses. You can delve into the latest quarter’s findings and access over 17 years’ worth of data at the click of a button through our console. Use our profit warning data to understand trends and identify the forces affecting your market and reshaping your path ahead.
UK-listed companies issued 64 profit warnings in Q3 2025, slightly above Q2 (59) but well below last year’s peak (84). A steadier number of warnings suggests that many of 2025’s economic and geopolitical pressures are now priced into earnings forecasts, but risks continue to evolve.
The most notable trend this quarter is the spread of weakening confidence from businesses to consumers, casting uncertainty over the vital Christmas quarter. One in five warnings cited falling consumer sentiment up from just 6% a year ago, with retailers particularly affected.
We’re also seeing the impact from earlier geopolitical tensions and policy shifts. Warnings citing exchange rate volatility rose to their highest level since 2018, driven by US dollar weakness. More companies report struggling to offset rising employment costs through pricing or productivity gains, adding pressure to margins.
The broader economic backdrop is still fragile, with restructuring activity increasing as firms face tighter liquidity and reduced flexibility. If this is a pause in profit warnings, it’s an uneasy one.
In the last 12 months,
18%
of UK listed companies have issued profit warnings.
In Q3 2025,
47%
of profit warnings cited geopolitical tension or policy change.
In the last 12 months,
14
FTSE Construction and Materials companies have issued a profit warning.
In Q3 2025,
19%
of profit warnings cited weaker consumer confidence.
