Where do we go from here?
Every organization has the opportunity to contribute as Canada works towards hitting net zero by 2050. Investors are actively seeking low-carbon investments as they, too, look to decarbonize their portfolios and assess the real-world impact of their investments. That’s especially relevant in light of the growing focus on ESG and the call for a better understanding of climate risks largely related to the uptake of the TCFD recommendations. At the same time, securities regulators are increasing their vigilance, wanting to see that climate risks attached to the new plan have been adequately assessed and disclosed in annual reports. That’s one more reason to take action.
Diving in now can help you emerge as a leader who not only complies, but actually shapes the recovery and the new economy, while remaining two inspirational steps ahead of stakeholders’ changing expectations. We won’t meet Canada’s climate ambitions by reverting to previous emission levels during the recovery. Canada is looking to build back better.
Start the process. Collaborate where and how you can to drive industry and cross-sector success. Explore the federal expansion from SRED-focused tax credits into more climate-specific initiatives and programs to seize opportunities and create change.
Above all: get a plan in place that’s as strategic about decarbonization as it is clear eyed to risk, and robust in governance. With targets as bold as these, your business’s future resilience depends not on what you’ll do down the road, but what you did right now, this year, this quarter, today.
What’s the Canada Climate Plan?
- It’s an update to the 2016 Pan-Canadian Framework on Clean Growth and Climate Change.
- It’s a combination of regulation, funding and programming that touches all sectors of the economy.
- Its intent is to ensure Canada meets its original 2030 commitment to reduce emissions to 30% below 2005 levels, now further tightened to 40 to 45%.
- It provides direction for the major shifts needed to meet Canada’s latest ambition to be net zero by 2050 confirmed at the recent international Climate Ambition Summit.
- It’s responding to the growing public demand for a credible plan to address climate change.
What does a net zero Canada by 2050 mean to the power and utilities sector?
Should strategy focus on grid storage or distributed generation to integrate intermittent renewables? In certain regions, pumped storage might be an excellent solution for grid storage.
What further intertie projects are then needed at scale? According to Canada’s new climate plan, the ambition is to have a net-zero emissions grid while increasing power supply for the electrification of key sectors. Under the plan, non-emitting power is seen to double or triple by 2050. As a consequence, a natural gas distributor may want to evolve their business model based on the increasing number of residential clients who may have access to cheaper, cleaner energy sources over the course of time.
How much hydrogen can be injected into our natural gas networks to reduce the carbon impact for hard-to-abate industrial sectors where electrification of energy-intense processes is still not feasible? Canada’s Hydrogen Strategy, released alongside the Climate Plan in December 2020, suggests up to 20% blending.
What do the pricing dynamics need to be for this to happen using green hydrogen produced from renewables (electrolysis or gasification of biomass) vs. grey hydrogen produced from natural gas? Today, less than 1% of the world’s hydrogen production is green. To make grey hydrogen blue – capturing and sequestering the CO2 emitted during the steam methane reformation typically used for its production — serious advances in carbon capture and storage (CSS) at scale would be needed. This would add costs and reduce overall efficiency, but it would improve environmental performance. CCS is not yet available beyond select demonstration projects.
According to the updated climate plan, Canada’s vision is to deliver up to 30% of Canada’s energy in the form of hydrogen by 2050, up from less than 2% today.