EY ITEM Club

The EY ITEM Club is a leading UK economic forecasting group.

 

We produce quarterly economic UK forecasts, special reports and forecasts for Scotland and the financial services sector. We also deliver daily analysis on UK economic data.

EY ITEM Club Autumn Forecast

Find out more about the EY ITEM Club Autumn Forecast, our latest analysis of the UK economy and growth forecasts.

Read the forecast (PDF, 4 MB)
Watch the webcast on-demand
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Featured press releases

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UK growth forecast upgraded to 1.5% for 2025, but GDP to slow next year

The EY ITEM Club Autumn 2025 Forecast for the UK economy, including interest rates, GDP, inflation, business investment and unemployment.

03 Nov 2025 | London, United Kingdom | Rob Joyce

Landscape photograph of two young professionals are discussing business on a bridge in Canary Wharf, London

UK GDP forecast upgraded but outlook subdued

The EY ITEM Club Summer 2025 Forecast for the UK economy, including interest rates, GDP, inflation, business investment, and unemployment.

28 Jul 2025 | London, United Kingdom | Rob Joyce

Trade uncertainty set to weigh on UK growth over the next two years

28 Apr 2025 | London, United Kingdom

Urgency to address low productivity and high labour market inactivity

06 Mar 2025 | Edinburgh, United Kingdom

UK economic growth downgraded after weaker-than-expected end to 2024

03 Feb 2025 | London, United Kingdom

Economics

View all our economic insights which provide knowledge and analysis to help businesses understand the economic environments they operate in. 

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The team

Peter Arnold

EY UK Chief Economist
Economics leader with over 20 years of experience. Advises public and private sector clients on macroeconomics, policies, regulation and competition. Improves client strategies via analytics.
London, United Kingdom
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