Economics

Economic uncertainty can also present opportunities for innovation and growth. Navigate the road ahead with informed macro-economic insights to reframe your future.

 

 

EY close-up of a mechanical watch mechanism, symbolizing precision and strategic timing for the upcoming budget.
29 Oct 2026

UK Budget 2026: our commentary on the UK’s Autumn Budget

 Webcast
29 Oct 2026

The EY UK Pre-Budget Fiscal Outlook – October 2026

Explore analysis of fiscal headroom, tax policy constraints, economic risks and choices facing the Chancellor ahead of the Autumn Budget.

Read the Outlook (780KB)
Watch the webcast
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Featured press releases

UK fiscal headroom halves to £11bn and may fall to a £7bn deficit

EY analysis suggests that UK fiscal headroom has narrowed to £11bn and could fall to a £7bn deficit if global energy disruption persists

05 Oct 2026 London, United Kingdom Rob Joyce

UK economic outlook upgraded but energy disruption will weigh on growth

The latest EY UK Economic Outlook slightly upgrades growth expectations but warns that energy price disruption will weigh on the economy.

03 Aug 2026 London, United Kingdom Rob Joyce

Greater London only English region to see FDI growth in 2025

23 Jun 2026 London, United Kingdom

Foreign Direct Investment: UK retains second place in Europe

21 May 2026 London, United Kingdom

UK GDP growth to slow in 2026 amid global energy supply disruption

12 May 2026 London, United Kingdom

Shape the future, don’t be shaped by it

EY Megatrends helps leaders anticipate change, reimagine strategies and make confident decisions for multiple possible futures. Learn about emerging trends, and turn uncertainty into opportunity.

Explore EY Megatrends
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How EY can help

The team

Peter Arnold

EY UK Chief Economist
Economics leader with over 20 years of experience. Advises public and private sector clients on macroeconomics, policies, regulation and competition. Improves client strategies via analytics.
London, United Kingdom

Silvia Rindone

EY UK&I Strategy and Transactions Managing Partner
Strategic mind with a pragmatic spin. Intellectually curious. Mother of two. Passion for art, food and travel.
London, United Kingdom

Kirsten Tompkins

UK&I Market Analyst and Commentator, Turnaround and Restructuring Strategy, Ernst & Young LLP
Market analyst and blogger for Turnaround and Restructuring. Passionate about the role of sport to break down barriers and improve lives. Helps to run a local cricket club.
Birmingham, United Kingdom

Scott McCubbin

EY UK&I IPO Leader
Leads EY’s UK&I IPO team. Experienced in delivering the largest IPOs in the UK. Passionate about supporting clients through the experience.
London, United Kingdom

Ally Scott

EY UK&I Clients & Industries Leader; EY Entrepreneur of the Year™ UK Co-Partner Lead; Head of M&A in Scotland, Ernst & Young LLP
Passionate about entrepreneurship. Recognised dealmaker with more than 30 years’ experience. Keen golfer.
Edinburgh, United Kingdom

Sue Dawe OBE

EY Scotland Managing Partner, EY Scotland Head of Financial Services
Leads EY’s Financial Services practice for Scotland and is a member of the EY UK LLP Board. Also a member of the Scottish Financial Enterprise Board.
 

Mats Persson

EY-Parthenon Partner, Strategy and Transactions, Ernst & Young LLP; EY UK&I Macro and Geostrategy Leader
Passionate about the intersection of macroeconomics, global politics and trade. Value-driver and geoeconomics trend forecaster. Inclusive leader. Swede. Basketball player.
London, United Kingdom

Rute Aparicio

Partner, Strategy and Transactions, Ernst & Young LLP
Modelling, data and analytics practitioner. Good listener and an empathetic coach. Mother. Enjoys the outdoors. Art enthusiast.
London, United Kingdom
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