Skip to content

EY ITEM Club

The EY ITEM Club is a leading UK economic forecasting group.

 

We produce quarterly economic UK forecasts, special reports and forecasts for Scotland and the financial services sector. We also deliver daily analysis on UK economic data.

EY has been sole sponsor of the ITEM Club for 25 years. It is the only non-governmental forecasting group to use HM Treasury's model of the UK economy. Our reports provide a detailed economic analysis and forecast of economic activity for the period ahead. They are independent of any political, economic or business bias.

 

EY ITEM Club is part of Economics, which provides knowledge, analysis and insight to help businesses understand the economic environments they operate in.

Webcast: EY ITEM Club Spring Forecast 2025

Sign up for our latest EY ITEM Club webcast to find out how tariffs could impact UK growth and inflation, plus the implications for business and government policy. 

Watch-on-demand
Landscape photograph of spring blossom in front of colourful London houses.

Featured press releases

Businessman Walking with morning coffee

Trade uncertainty set to weigh on UK growth over the next two years

The EY ITEM Club Spring 2025 Forecast for the UK economy, including mortgage rates, interest rates, GDP, inflation, house prices and unemployment.

28 Apr 2025 | London, GBR | Rob Joyce

Historic Red sandstone building with clock tower by river

Urgency to address low productivity and high labour market inactivity

The EY ITEM Club Scottish Winter forecast on Scotland’s economy, includes Scottish GVA, employment and the breakdown of sector performance.

06 Mar 2025 | Edinburgh, GBR | EY UK

UK economic growth downgraded after weaker-than-expected end to 2024

03 Feb 2025 | London, GBR

Scotland’s economic forecast weakens but central belt to buck trend

03 Dec 2024 | Edinburgh, GBR

UK economy growth slowed due to weak consumer spending

24 Oct 2024

Economics

View all our economic insights which provide knowledge and analysis to help businesses understand the economic environments they operate in. 

Find out more
Businessmen looking at graphs

The team

Peter Arnold

EY UK Chief Economist
Economics leader with over 20 years of experience. Advises public and private sector clients on macroeconomics, policies, regulation and competition. Improves client strategies via analytics.
London, GBR
Contact us
Like what you’ve seen? Get in touch to learn more.

EY refers to the global organization, and may refer to one or more, of the member firms of Ernst & Young Global Limited, each of which is a separate legal entity. Ernst & Young Global Limited, a UK company limited by guarantee, does not provide services to clients.
You are visiting EY uk (en)
uk en