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Economics

Economic uncertainty can also present opportunities for innovation and growth. Navigate the road ahead with informed macro-economic insights to reframe your future.

Inform your strategic and operational decision-making around all elements of the capital agenda. With the latest macro-economic data, megatrends and our evidence-based insights, you can improve your economic modelling, forecast more accurately, and better plan your transformation today, to thrive tomorrow.

 

The EY ITEM Club is the flagship of the EY Economics programme, and uses HM Treasury’s model of the UK economy to forecast economic developments within the country, including GDP, inflation and interest rates.

EY ITEM Club Summer Forecast

Find out more about the EY ITEM Club Summer Forecast, our latest analysis of the UK economy and growth forecasts.

Read the forecast (PDF, 3.3 MB)
Read the press release
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Featured press releases

Landscape photograph of two young professionals are discussing business on a bridge in Canary Wharf, London

UK GDP forecast upgraded but outlook subdued

The EY ITEM Club Summer 2025 Forecast for the UK economy, including interest rates, GDP, inflation, business investment, and unemployment.

28 Jul 2025 | London, GBR | Rob Joyce

Aerial view of Frostastaoavatn lake with a vibrant rainbow

60% of FTSE 100 returns linked to geopolitical and macro shifts

Geopolitical and macroeconomic trends and events are now increasingly influencing business and profits

23 Jul 2025 | London, GBR | Seetle Dool

Scotland secures decade stretch as top UK FDI location outside London

17 Jun 2025 | Edinburgh, GBR

FDI: UK regions among Europe’s top destinations for inward investment

17 Jun 2025 | London, GBR

Forecast downgraded as global trade concerns rise

03 Jun 2025 | Edinburgh, GBR

How EY can help

The team

Peter Arnold

EY UK Chief Economist
Economics leader with over 20 years of experience. Advises public and private sector clients on macroeconomics, policies, regulation and competition. Improves client strategies via analytics.
London, GBR

Silvia Rindone

EY UK&I Strategy and Transactions Managing Partner
Strategic mind with a pragmatic spin. Intellectually curious. Mother of two. Passion for art, food and travel.
London, GBR

Kirsten Tompkins

UK&I Market Analyst and Commentator, Turnaround and Restructuring Strategy, Ernst & Young LLP
Market analyst and blogger for Turnaround and Restructuring. Passionate about the role of sport to break down barriers and improve lives. Helps to run a local cricket club.
Birmingham, GBR

Scott McCubbin

EY UK&I IPO Leader
Leads EY’s UK&I IPO team. Experienced in delivering the largest IPOs in the UK. Passionate about supporting clients through the experience.
London, GBR

Ally Scott

EY Scotland Managing Partner and EY Entrepreneur Of The Year™ UK Partner Co-Lead, Ernst & Young LLP
Passionate about entrepreneurship. Recognised dealmaker with more than 30 years’ experience. Keen golfer.
Edinburgh, GBR

Sue Dawe

EY, Scotland, Head of Financial Services
Leads EY’s Financial Services practice for Scotland and is a member of the EY UK LLP Board. Also a member of the Scottish Financial Enterprise Board.
Edinburgh, GBR

Mats Persson

Partner, Strategy and Transactions, Ernst & Young LLP
Former Special Advisor to the Prime Minister and Chief of Staff to the Chancellor of the Exchequer.
London, GBR

Rute Aparicio

Partner, Strategy and Transactions, Ernst & Young LLP
Modelling, data and analytics practitioner. Good listener and an empathetic coach. Mother. Enjoys the outdoors. Art enthusiast.
London, GBR
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