No discount in most cases while moderate discounts when present
In an analysis of 306 concurrent primary and secondary transactions, 85% of secondary transactions were priced similarly to primary rounds, demonstrating that secondary sales are not universally discounted. However, in 15% of cases where a discount was observed, the average markdown was 19%, with most transactions showing a discount in a narrow range around the average.
Discounts are consistent across investor types and deal profiles
Discounts (when present) appeared across all types of deals and investor profiles. The buyer profile (common vs. new investor) did not materially impact whether a discount occurred or how large it was.
Discounts were observed among companies of all valuation sizes, albeit lower for smaller companies
Discounts were observed across companies of all valuation sizes, from smaller startups to large companies. However, the magnitude of the discount tended to be slightly lower for smaller companies, likely due to the higher probability of binary outcomes.
No significant relationship between stake size, deal size and secondary discounts
The data showed no significant correlation between the percentage of equity stake sold or the absolute deal size and the discount level. This suggests that the decision to discount a secondary price wasn’t driven by how big the sales were, but rather by other factors (like expectations of the company’s trajectory).
Secondary discounts were marginally reduced during the COVID-19 period
An interesting temporal trend was noted: during the COVID-19 years (2020–2021), secondary discounts were slightly lower on average (~18%) compared to other years (~21%). This indicates that in the pandemic-era funding environment, secondary investors were paying price closer to primary-round valuations (perhaps due to high investor optimism and liquidity chasing startups during that period). Outside of those years, discounts were a bit higher on average, though still not the norm in most deals.