Next steps
The Presidential Memo directs the relevant agency leads to compile their reviews, investigations and recommendations into three reports led respectively by the Commerce Secretary, Treasury Secretary and US Trade Representative to be sent to President Trump by 1 April 2025. The review undertaken by the OMB has a deadline of 30 April 2025.
To undertake these reviews, President Trump has appointed an acting Cabinet while the congressional confirmation hearings process is underway. Those undertaking relevant acting roles include:
- Secretary of Commerce — Jeremy Pelter
- Secretary of the Treasury — David Lebryk
- Secretary of Homeland Security — Benjamine Huffman
- US Trade Representative — Juan Millan
Action for businesses
Although the Presidential Memo does not impose any tariffs, in the press conference accompanying the signing of the Presidential Memo, President Trump stated that tariffs on Mexico and Canada, which he first put forward on 25 November in a social media post, could start from 1 February 2025.4
Strategic planning is imperative to help mitigate these additional tariffs. Immediate actions for companies that import into the US to consider include:
- Undertaking trade advocacy as reviews are being conducted by the relevant US government agencies
- Analyzing financial and physical flows, as well as the import duties spent, to assess the potential duty impact of anticipated new tariffs
- Evaluating current domestic or alternative sourcing options (e.g., outside of China, Canada and Mexico) and consider country-of-origin planning to mitigate duties
- Contemplating valuation planning, such as bifurcating product and non-product costs and first sale for export planning to help mitigate the increase in duty
- Aligning customs valuation with transfer pricing policies — US tax reform has resulted in companies' migrating intellectual property (IP) back to the US. With IP in the US, and in a direct import model, customs value is decreased. For customs value, certain design and development costs must be added to value, but US research and development (R&D) can be excluded. For R&D-intensive companies with significant R&D in the US, value reduction can be significant.
- Optimizing supply chains to utilize duty recovery through duty drawback, reclaiming duties paid on imports when the same or similar products are exported (e.g., substitution duty drawback)
- Conducting scenario-planning exercises to anticipate various outcomes of trade policy changes and develop contingency plans to ensure business continuity
- Keeping up with the latest news and developments in trade policies and staying adaptable to quickly respond to changes in trade regulations and tariff rates, including understanding potential announcements on how the tariffs affect Foreign Trade Zone operations