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Looking ahead as Trump policies come into sharper focus

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Policies shift with each administration. Trump's early changes focus on deregulation, tax cuts, tariffs, and immigration policies. Businesses must adapt.


In brief

  • The Trump administration emphasizes deregulation and tax cuts, prompting businesses to reassess their strategies within this evolving policy landscape.
  • Companies should prepare for increased scrutiny in immigration policies, which may have employment and mobility implications.
  • Businesses must stay informed on trade policies, as tariffs and negotiations could significantly impact supply chains and market stability.

Policies and priorities change with every incoming administration, and the shifts President Trump has made in his first months in office have been far-reaching. With the Trump administration and Congress moving from broad pronouncements to policy implementation through executive orders and legislation, businesses too can begin mapping out their course of action.

Details will continue to emerge, but companies can begin to assess their path forward within a policy framework characterized by:

  • A more streamlined federal government focused on deregulation
  • Tax policy aimed at lowering rates and encouraging investment within the US
  • Trade policy that uses tariffs as a negotiating tool
  • Immigration policies that may have employment and mobility implications
  • A repositioning of the United States in global tax discussions

Smaller government, less regulation

 

Developments

 

Among the Trump administration’s top priorities has been a focus on shrinking the size of the federal government and reducing the role of regulations. These activities are being implemented across agencies and could transform the regulatory landscape.

 

Through executive orders (EOs), the administration has instructed agencies to identify and repeal existing regulations. President Trump has proposed a “10-to-1” deregulatory goal: whenever an agency promulgates a new rule, regulation, or guidance, it must identify at least 10 others to be repealed.

 

The U.S. Treasury Department and IRS have begun examining previously released guidance to determine potential areas of focus and have invited the public to make recommendations as well. Businesses are already engaging with the Treasury Department in the process, helping to identify priority areas where deregulation could have a significant impact.

 

At the same time, through initiatives such as the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), the administration aims to shrink the size of the federal government by reducing government expenditures and staffing levels at many federal agencies, among them the IRS.

 

According to a report from the Treasury Inspector General for Tax Administration (TIGTA), nearly a third of IRS revenue agents have separated from the agency in recent months, as have at least a quarter of the IRS’s Large Business and International Division. The IRS Independent Office of Appeals is expected to be down roughly a quarter of its staff from the beginning of the year to the end of the current fiscal year. This could result in uncertainty for companies facing audits and appeals, with a possibility of audits closing unexpectedly and examinations and appeals taking longer than anticipated.

Business actions to consider

  • Engage with regulators about potential guidance to reexamine – either for repeal or for preservation – emphasizing areas in which your industry or sector can provide insights and highlight potentially overlooked details.
  • Anticipate longer timeframes to resolve IRS disputes and appeals.
  • Plan for a more uncertain compliance and audit environment until the IRS workforce situation stabilizes. 

Tax policy – extending Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) individual and business tax provisions

Developments

The Trump administration’s top tax policy priority this year is enactment of a signature tax bill that could substantially affect US businesses. Key provisions of the legislation include:

  • Permanently extending TCJA individual tax rates and incentives
  • Extending and in some cases expanding business-favorable TCJA provisions, such as expensing for domestic R&D and immediate expensing of the costs of constructing new US factories
  • Maintaining and providing stability for the current US international tax regime
  • Repealing clean energy initiatives enacted under the previous administration
  • Making permanent and increasing the Section 199A “pass-through deduction”
  • Addressing President Trump’s campaign proposals on tips and overtime

Proposed legislative changes include mainly favorable provisions, but the effects may vary by industry, sector and circumstances, so companies should pay close attention to the details and remain engaged throughout the legislative process.

Short- and long-term business planning should take into consideration timing, as some of the tax provisions are temporary, others phase out and some take effect in the future. For those in the clean energy space, for example, there will be a significant change in policy direction, and the timing of investment decisions could affect the cost of planned projects due to the elimination or phaseouts of incentives in the coming years.

For US multinational companies, the tax legislation likely means continuity and greater certainty about the future direction of US international tax policies. Permanent extension of the current tax rates on global intangible low-taxed income (GILTI), the deduction for foreign-derived intangible income (FDII) and the rates for the base erosion and anti-abuse tax (BEAT) are included in the legislation, lessening the possibility of less favorable rates that were otherwise scheduled to take effect in 2026. The legislation also includes tax increases aimed at eliminating or at least neutralizing “unfair foreign taxes.” 

Business actions to consider

  • Engage in modeling to determine the potential effects of different tax provisions on your company.
  • For companies with significant cross-border activities, including foreign-headquartered companies, examine the new provisions that might impact decision-making in these operations. 
  • Determine whether and how any new or enhanced domestic business tax incentives might apply to your specific circumstances.
  • Work across the organization to bring tax considerations into broader business planning discussions.

Trade policy – stepping away from multilateralism

Developments

Trade has been a prominent policy focus area for President Trump, with a shift away from multilateralism and the use of tariffs as a negotiating tool with individual countries. Administration announcements of tariff increases and retrenchments have led to swings in the stock market and uncertainty about the short- and longer-term economic impact.

Amid the ongoing tariff negotiations between the US and different countries, US markets may experience continued volatility. The unpredictable trade landscape could affect the costs of businesses with a presence in affected markets, and companies have been finding it challenging to predict future trade actions and countermeasures.

Business actions to consider

  • Develop detailed models to map trade flows and costs to assess potential direct and indirect impacts on supply chains, transactions and investments.
  • Assess and consider customs management alternatives.
  • Any analysis here should also consider the tax impacts of changes under these models.
  • Stay informed and monitor developments, as this is an area that can change quickly.

Immigration policy

Developments

Border security has been a cornerstone policy of President Trump, and the administration has initiated various activities around immigration and the deportation of residents who have entered the country illegally.

The result is likely to be higher levels of scrutiny for visa eligibility and issuance that may affect companies with employees in different countries and greater complexity around hiring processes for international employees. It also may lengthen the amount of time it takes for visa application approval and business travel authorization. Overall, there may be significant impacts on the mobility of employees of US MNEs across borders that could affect hiring, applicant pools and business travel trends.

Business actions to consider

  • Review employee mobility and travel policies.
  • Have a system in place for pre-assessing business travelers to make sure they have appropriate documents, to better manage risk, prepare for greater scrutiny, and comply with evolving immigration policies.

US positioning within global tax regime – forging a new path

Developments

Immediately upon taking office, President Trump rejected the idea of the US adopting the Pillar Two global minimum tax regime, and the administration has since underscored efforts to maintain its own separate international tax system. The administration has taken a position that the US’s international tax framework should coexist on an equal footing with Pillar Two and that US companies should not be subject to any foreign Pillar Two rule on income over which the US has taxing rights.

In his January 20, 2025 EO, President Trump directed the U.S. Treasury Department to notify the OECD that the commitments by the Biden administration related to Pillar Two have “no force or effect within the United States absent an act by Congress.” The administration has more recently clarified its position that the US intends to ensure its tax system maintains its sovereignty, and that the GILTI regime should exist “side-by-side” with the emerging Pillar Two system to address base erosion and profit shifting.

President Trump also requested that the U.S. Treasury Department and the Office of the United States Trade Representative investigate and report back on foreign countries that have tax rules that are extraterritorial or disproportionately affect American companies. Drawing upon previous legislative efforts, the tax reconciliation legislation includes a proposal to increase tax rates on US income of certain foreign persons that are tax residents in countries with an “unfair foreign tax” that is deemed discriminatory against US taxpayers, directly or indirectly. In this context, unfair taxes include an undertaxed profits rule, digital services tax, diverted profit tax, and other taxes as determined by the U.S. Treasury Department. 

Business actions to consider

  • Continue to monitor developments as discussions between the U.S. Treasury and other countries continue.
  • Consider engaging with policymakers in countries in which your company operates.
  • Seek out opportunities to collaborate with similarly situated stakeholders to provide input on ways to reduce complexity and increase certainty in the global tax arena.

The importance of business engagement in shaping policy outcomes

Businesses have an important role to play in educating policymakers about potential industry-specific and broader economic implications of policy changes. There will continue to be opportunities to communicate and provide perspectives that can help refine policies, elevate the discussion and shape outcomes. As tax legislation moves from the conceptual to the concrete and broader economic policy pieces begin to fall into place, businesses will want to understand the implications for their future activities and have a seat at the table as final decisions are being made. Business engagement is key to managing change in this rapidly evolving policy landscape.

Summary

The shifts President Trump has made in his first months in office have been far-reaching. Companies can begin to assess their path forward within a policy framework focused on deregulation, tax cuts, trade tariffs, and immigration policies. The administration aims to reduce the federal government's size and regulations through executive orders. Key tax initiatives include extending the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and stabilizing the US international tax regime. Trade policy moves away from multilateralism, while immigration policies may have employment and mobility implications. Companies must engage with regulators and adapt to these changes to effectively manage their strategies in this evolving landscape.

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