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Microtransit trends: strategies shaping public transit’s future

Microtransit is reshaping public transit with flexible, on-demand options that enhance connectivity and expand access in underserved areas.


In brief
  • Nearly 60% of US transit riders prefer flexible, on-demand mobility options, prompting agencies to adopt microtransit as a strategic solution.
  • Microtransit bridges service gaps by connecting riders to existing transit points, expanding access in underserved areas and enhancing overall ridership.
  • Public-private partnerships and AI-driven planning are key trends in microtransit, enabling agencies to optimize services and improve cost efficiency.

Nearly 60% of transit riders in the US say they prefer flexible, on-demand mobility options over fixed-route schedules, according to a survey conducted by the University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute.1 As rider preferences and commute-to-work patterns have changed, public transit agencies are rethinking their service models — and microtransit is quickly emerging as a strategic tool in the new mobility ecosystem.

The response from many transit agencies has been thoughtful and adaptive. Microtransit — typically defined as dynamically routed, tech-enabled shared rides — is increasingly being deployed to bridge service gaps, extend coverage and better align service supply with rider demand.

Emerging trends in microtransit

As agencies move from pilots to permanent programs, several key trends are shaping how microtransit is being designed, funded and integrated into broader transit networks:

  • Connectivity, not competition. Agencies are deploying microtransit as a first last-mile connector between a rider’s home and existing transit access points such as bus stops or rail stations. This approach can help grow the overall transit customer base rather than simply redirect existing fixed-route customers to microtransit.
  • Expanded access. In cities like Los Angeles, Atlanta and Houston, microtransit pilots have been used to eliminate mobility deserts, often in historically underserved communities, and expand transportation access in low-density areas where fixed-route service may not be viable.
  • Public-private partnerships. To scale quickly, many agencies are partnering with private mobility providers. Between 2020 and 2023, more than 65 microtransit programs were launched in collaboration with private operators, according to the Shared-Use Mobility Center.2
  • AI-powered service planning. With the help of real-time data and AI tools, agencies are optimizing vehicle routing and deployment dynamically based on demand. This leads to improved cost efficiency and customer satisfaction. In some pilots, microtransit has outperformed underutilized fixed routes on a per-passenger cost basis.

The path to microtransit implementation

 

Transit agencies are seizing this opportunity and assessing the ROI of microtransit pilots in a rigorous way. This assessment starts with defining clear, measurable KPIs for both the microtransit operator and software provider during the pilot period. KPIs considered effective include trip request response times, customer satisfaction, rides per revenue hour and vehicle utilization, among others. When those pilots convert to permanent programs, it becomes critical to embed those KPIs in the contract and empower agencies with the ability to assess penalties or liquidated damages in the event that those KPIs are not met.

 

Setting up a robust procurement process also matters, so agencies can attract the largest pool of bidders and maximize competitive tension. A common challenge is how to level the playing field for all bidders, given that the pilot program creates a de facto incumbent who is perceived as having an advantage. Agencies have responded to this challenge in various ways. One strategy is to decouple the operator and software provider selection process and run two parallel bidding processes. If this entity is the same, it becomes vastly more complicated to sever contractual ties with an incumbent. This decoupling helps to ensure that an underperforming operator can be replaced with minimal disruption to customers.

Why it matters — microtransit as a strategic inflection point

For public-sector leaders, the shift toward microtransit is more than a service innovation — it’s a strategic inflection point. Agencies are being asked to do more with less. In this context, microtransit offers an opportunity to reimagine service delivery in ways that are more agile, data-informed and customer-centric. Here are six reasons why this trend matters:

In short, microtransit is not a silver bullet, but it is a high-leverage tool: a low-capital, data-rich proving ground that can help agencies preserve ridership, stretch scarce dollars, broaden access and modernize their tech stack — all while buying time for long-lead capital projects to come online.

The views reflected in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Ernst & Young LLP or other members of the global EY organization.


Summary 

The article discusses the rise of microtransit as a flexible, on-demand mobility solution preferred by nearly 60% of US transit riders. Public transit agencies are rethinking their service models to address changing commuter needs, using microtransit to connect riders to existing transit points and expand access in underserved areas. Key trends include public-private partnerships and AI-driven service planning, which enhance efficiency and customer satisfaction. Microtransit serves as a strategic tool for agencies to preserve ridership, optimize resources and modernize their operations, while addressing the challenges of legacy transit systems.

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