Smiling pediatrician interacts with child in bright pediatric space

How pediatric providers should rethink their strategy

Recent disruption and on-going uncertainty are an opportunity for pediatric providers to reposition for the future.


In brief
  • Health systems providing care for children find themselves at the center of converging headwinds – existing challenges and new government actions.
  • Providers that leverage this moment for strategic change will emerge as market leaders.
  • Strategies tailored to each organization's mission will focus on redefining vision, exploring revenue, driving improvement and managing costs effectively.

Health systems providing care for children find themselves at the center of existing challenges and new government actions.

Recent and proposed actions by the administration and Congress have broad implications for patients, families, care teams and the economics of hospitals and health systems. Significant changes to Medicaid and research funding are already poised to have a negative impact on institutional revenue, while tariffs threaten to increase the costs of supplies and equipment.

For many years, pediatric providers have been navigating the turbulent waters of increased costs due to inflation, technology investments and shifting consumer preferences combined with a lagging reimbursement model that is not keeping pace with these factors.

The question for many is: “How long will our organization be solvent under current operations?” Although some organizations are starting from a stronger position, the answer for many will be “not long.”

Existing headwinds

Market consolidation and reductions in pediatric capacity have already started.

The nearly 20% decline in pediatric inpatient beds between 2008 and 2022, with only a 1.2% decline in the pediatric population, indicates the pediatric care landscape was stressed prior to this administration’s actions.1

The economic model for providing pediatric care has been strained by increasing costs, lagging reimbursement and a shrinking market (see Figure 1 below).

Change in pediatric beds and population (2008—22)


Figure 1: Existing pediatric headwinds


New headwinds

Pediatric providers are also facing a wave of recent actions and potential policy changes that will negatively affect financial viability, further exacerbating the impact of existing headwinds. (see Figure 2 below).

Figure 2: Administration and congressional headwinds


Disruption likely to accelerate market impacts

 

As the headwinds converge on pediatric providers, the market is likely to see a mix of responses, including:

  • Reduction in pediatric capacity – fewer inpatient beds, fewer pediatric-focused clinics and providers
  • Mergers of providers to create scale and balance payer mix
  • Partnerships that can infuse capital and bolster financials 
  • Doubling down on the few services that are margin positive, such as neonatal care, surgical care and cancer care

Success will be achieved by providers who make tough decisions on spending cuts and efficiency, compete aggressively on growth, payer mix and margin-positive services, and do not lose sight of their mission.

 

While it might be tempting to act quickly, providers that use this moment as both a catalyst for change and an opportunity to position for growth will find themselves as market leaders. Every strategy will be unique given an organization’s mission, history, population and competitive landscape.

Recommended Actions

There are four domains that will help executive teams be comprehensive in their scenario planning and design:

  1. Redefine vision and strategy
  2. Explore revenue opportunities
  3. Drive continued improvement
  4. Expand cost management efforts
Young pediatrician weighting cute little baby in clinic
1

Redefine vision and strategy

In times of disruption, a clear, focused strategy is essential.

It is tempting for pediatric care providers to move directly to actions like cutting costs, programs and people as a reaction to the headwinds they are facing. While cuts are inevitably necessary, how, why and when can mean the difference between positioning for future growth and a downward spiral of cost cutting. Strategic actions executives can take include:

Pediatrician examining African-American boy in clinic
2

Explore revenue opportunities

A laser focus on revenue optimization opens doors for investment

Even before the current changes, existing market headwinds were pushing many pediatric providers to consider their revenue options. At this moment of disruption, a clarity of focus on revenue is essential; to achieve this, health leaders can:

Speech therapist helping young girl with speech using tablet in bright therapy room
3

Drive efficiencies

Margins are compressing. Future success is directly tied to an organization’s ability to provide high-quality care at a lower cost.

Our health care delivery system is notoriously complex and inefficient. Attempts for meaningful efficiency improvements are often halted by cultural barriers, previously failed attempts, incremental improvement and lack of sustained focus.

To use this moment of disruption as a catalyst for change, executive teams must execute differently than in the past. In designing a path to financial sustainability, leaders should explore three areas:

Happy family on a visit to the doctor in the office of a doctor. Woman family doctor sitting at the table with smiling family at the clinic.
4

Expand cost-reduction efforts

The agility necessary to succeed in the coming years will come from a lower, focused cost structure.

Most systems are in a near-constant cycle of evaluating costs, and in many cases the “low-hanging fruit” has been cut. That leaves more difficult cost-reduction decisions to evaluate. Questions should include:

  • Where are we willing to act that we were not before?
  • What is essential to future growth and competitiveness (and what is not)?
  • Where do we accept “failure” and move on?
  • What fits into our new operating model (and what does not)?

This is the time to ensure executives and board members understand the current cash position, areas of risk and cash management options, as they explore decisions in the following areas with a new lens:

Conclusion

Pediatric providers’ ability to pivot while staying dedicated to their mission is crucial.

Disruption will accelerate existing trends of consolidation and shrinking capacity.

Organizations that emerge as leaders will have designed and executed proactive strategies that navigate the current climate while focusing on future competitiveness and growth potential. They will weather tough decisions and difficult trade-offs with a clear vision for the future that brings the organization with them.

Pediatric providers care for the most vulnerable in our society. Their ability to adjust course with an unwavering focus on their mission is vital to ensuring that the care we all want for our nation’s children is available.

Spencer Robichaux, Thomas Hansan, Julia Chen, and Matt Tan contributed to the creation of this article.


Summary 

Existing market headwinds, recent changes and ongoing uncertainty are intensifying pressures on pediatric providers’ ability to balance mission and financial viability; successful organizations will implement forward-thinking strategies to adapt.

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