Canadian organizations need to take an integrated approach to addressing global trade challenges. Thinking big picture — and assessing supply chain, trade and tax implications in a coordinated way — can help businesses implement short- and medium-term strategies. For boards, these uncertain and volatile times require not just oversight but active engagement. Boards should consider key strategic, operating and financial reporting questions as they engage with management during these unprecedented times.
What are Canadian boards facing now?
Heading into 2025, the Canadian economy was picking up speed, with easing inflation, interest rate relief and green shoots sprouting in the economy and housing market. But the radical shift in US trade policy and rapid enaction of tariffs between the US and Canada has changed this trajectory. There is significant uncertainty as to the extent and duration of trade barriers, and where these changing government policies will lead the US-Canada relationship. The uncertainty will weigh on investment and spending decisions and is likely to slow future economic growth — and even potentially lead to recession.
From the industry perspective, Canada has been the largest import trading partner for 23 states in the US since 2023. Nationally, our oil and gas and manufacturing industries are the most exposed to evolving US tariffs, as they primarily trade goods across the border. Compounding this uncertainty, dozens of US trading partners are now engaged in bilateral trade negotiations, including ongoing conversations between Canada and the US.
As Canadian businesses continue operating in the face of continuous disruption, boards will want to help shape an integrated approach that blends short- and long-term actions. This can generate the kind of flexibility needed to stay agile in today’s market, while moving towards a future that remains unclear.