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Economics

Economic uncertainty can also present opportunities for innovation and growth. Navigate the road ahead with informed macro-economic insights to reframe your future.

Inform your strategic and operational decision-making around all elements of the capital agenda. With the latest macro-economic data, megatrends and our evidence-based insights, you can improve your economic modelling, forecast more accurately, and better plan your transformation today, to thrive tomorrow.

 

The EY ITEM Club is the flagship of the EY Economics programme, and uses HM Treasury’s model of the UK economy to forecast economic developments within the country, including GDP, inflation and interest rates.

Webcast: EY ITEM Club Spring Forecast 2025

Sign up for our latest EY ITEM Club webcast to find out how tariffs could impact UK growth and inflation, plus the implications for business and government policy. 

Watch-on-demand
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Featured press releases

Low angle view of three friends in adventure park climbing on a suspension bridge

Foreign Direct Investment: UK remains second in Europe

The EY UK Attractiveness Survey reveals how many Foreign Direct Investment projects the UK attracted in 2024 compared to other European countries

15 May 2025 | London, GBR | Rob Joyce

Businessman Walking with morning coffee

Trade uncertainty set to weigh on UK growth over the next two years

The EY ITEM Club Spring 2025 Forecast for the UK economy, including mortgage rates, interest rates, GDP, inflation, house prices and unemployment.

28 Apr 2025 | London, GBR | Rob Joyce

UK’s regional growth gap set to widen

19 Mar 2025 | London, GBR

Urgency to address low productivity and high labour market inactivity

06 Mar 2025 | Edinburgh, GBR

UK economic growth downgraded after weaker-than-expected end to 2024

03 Feb 2025 | London, GBR

How EY can help

The team

Peter Arnold

EY UK Chief Economist
Economics leader with over 20 years of experience. Advises public and private sector clients on macroeconomics, policies, regulation and competition. Improves client strategies via analytics.
London, GBR

Silvia Rindone

EY UK&I Strategy and Transactions Managing Partner
Strategic mind with a pragmatic spin. Intellectually curious. Mother of two. Passion for art, food and travel.
London, GBR

Kirsten Tompkins

UK&I Market Analyst and Commentator, Turnaround and Restructuring Strategy, Ernst & Young LLP
Market analyst and blogger for Turnaround and Restructuring. Passionate about the role of sport to break down barriers and improve lives. Helps to run a local cricket club.
Birmingham, GBR

Scott McCubbin

EY UK&I IPO Leader
Leads EY’s UK&I IPO team. Experienced in delivering the largest IPOs in the UK. Passionate about supporting clients through the experience.
London, GBR

Ally Scott

EY Scotland Managing Partner and EY Entrepreneur Of The Year™ UK Partner Co-Lead, Ernst & Young LLP
Passionate about entrepreneurship. Recognised dealmaker with more than 30 years’ experience. Keen golfer.
Edinburgh, GBR

Sue Dawe

EY, Scotland, Head of Financial Services
Leads EY’s Financial Services practice for Scotland and is a member of the EY UK LLP Board. Also a member of the Scottish Financial Enterprise Board.
Edinburgh, GBR

Mats Persson

Partner, Strategy and Transactions, Ernst & Young LLP
Former Special Advisor to the Prime Minister and Chief of Staff to the Chancellor of the Exchequer.
London, GBR
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