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Agentic enterprise: an antidote to the health insurer business model

AI can help payers move from administering benefits to orchestrating better care.


In brief
  • Health insurers face a structural squeeze that efficiency alone won’t fix; AI can help redesign how care, costs and decisions are managed.
  • The winners will use AI to build a better payer model—one that improves outcomes, lowers medical costs and strengthens retention.
  • EY-Parthenon teams work with clients to turn AI ambition into value.

Health insurers are trying to solve a structural problem with incremental patches. Medical costs are rising, regulatory and pricing pressures are tightening, and employers and members want more value for every dollar spent. Growth, meanwhile, is harder to find and defend as plans compete to retain employer relationships and attract profitable members.

The EY-Parthenon CEO Survey 2026 shows that 78% of healthcare CEOs plan to increase AI investment this year, yet only 23% intend to use it to redefine the business model. That gap is significant. Efficiency gains alone will not be enough. The larger opportunity is to use AI to redesign how value is created across the care journey — shifting payers from benefit administrators to orchestrators of better decisions, lower costs, stronger retention and more personalized care.

The case for change for health insurers

The payer model was built for scale and efficiency, but it no longer fits today’s economics. Medical costs are rising faster than administrative savings can offset, exposing the limits of a broad, population-based model in a market that increasingly rewards more personalized, higher-value care.

These pressures point to a deeper issue: This isn’t a temporary squeeze but a challenge to the model itself. If the problem is structural, the response must be as well. AI creates the most value when it changes decisions, not just tasks. Embedded in workflows, it enables earlier risk detection, more proactive care management, smarter prior authorization and real-time guidance.

But even if the direction is clear, the path is constrained by capital, regulation, limited execution capacity and fragmented data. Point solutions will not change the economics. The better path is to sequence a few high-impact journeys, realize value quickly and reinvest it to fund broader transformation.

Call to action

 

Those constraints make sequencing essential but not at the expense of delay. The industry now faces a clear choice: make an unsustainable model more efficient in the short term or build one that shapes care at scale. Early movers will gain compounding advantages in cost, outcomes and experience.

 

Why act now

 

Pressure on the payer model is converging from all directions:

  • Medical costs have risen 7% to 9% annually for five years, driven in part by specialty pharmacy, while chronic disease is increasing patient acuity.
  • Employers are reshaping coverage, with midsize firms moving toward self-funded and individual coverage health reimbursement arrangement (ICHRA) models and large employers demanding more flexibility from third-party administrators (TPAs).
  • The Affordable Care Act (ACA) market faces pressure from expiring tax credits and a shift to lower-premium bronze plans, while Medicare Advantage and Medicaid reimbursement is tightening.
  • Members and providers increasingly expect more personalized, proactive engagement and better value.

These pressures are accelerating consolidation among smaller plans. But scale alone is no safeguard: Even large incumbents are underperforming, showing the challenge is structural, not cyclical.

 

That shifts the question from defending the current model to building a better one. Traditional levers — administrative savings, utilization management and broad cost controls — are no longer enough. What remains are judgment-heavy decisions that drive medical costs and resist simple automation.

 

Risks in payer transformation AI

 

The biggest AI risk is not moving too slowly but using it too narrowly. Many payers still focus on faster claims, call handling and prior authorization — important gains, but not ones that change care economics. As those improvements become table stakes, leaders will use AI to improve the decisions that shape medical costs, member experience and outcomes.

SpectrumEnhance the existing modelReinvent the model
Primary AI applicationAutomate tasks; improve throughput Automate decision and engagement end-to-end
What it changesAdministrative unit cost Medical cost, member experience, outcomes
ResultMore efficient version of today’s payer Structurally advantaged payer that shapes outcomes
RiskIncremental gains on a structurally constrained model Requires operating-model rewrite and disciplined sequencing

Many organizations still focus on pushing more volume through legacy structures because it is measurable and defensible. But what looks like a design choice today is quickly becoming a source of market separation. Reinvention requires redesigning workflows, value streams and decision ownership across the enterprise.

Early AI pilots often stall because they are layered onto legacy workflows rather than used to fundamentally redesign them.

The market is splitting

That distinction is already starting to shape competitive outcomes. As early movers reinvent the model, they accumulate proprietary data, embed learning loops and build cost structures that improve with scale. As they reset cost and experience benchmarks, late movers may face higher unit costs, weaker experiences and less pricing flexibility.

The next-generation payer 

What, then, does a structurally advantaged payer look like in practice? It is not simply a benefit administrator with better tools. It is a decisioning and orchestration platform that operates continuously across the member lifecycle and care journey. That shift requires redesigning how insight is generated, decisions are made and actions are triggered across fragmented processes.

Care management journey


In practice, the distinction comes down to how AI is applied: as an overlay on existing work or as part of how the work itself is designed. Most payer AI investments are still bolt-ons that automate steps within existing functions, improving efficiency without changing the operating model. Built-in AI goes further by redesigning the work itself and closing the gap between insight and action.

ApproachBolt-on AIBuilt-in AI
AI functionAutomation of administrative tasks, function by functionAction loops to support decisions across the end-to-end journey
Core valueSG&A expense reductionReduction of medical expenses; plus SG&A expense reduction and member retention
Members servedHighest-risk/highest-cost only (capacity-constrained)Every member, intensity matched dynamically to need
Member experienceFragmented and standardized Coordinated and individualized
Payer roleBenefit administrator and claims processor Real-time decision system and care orchestration engine

An agentic health plan model

An agentic health plan is an operating model in which built-in AI agents continuously sense member needs, recommend next best actions and coordinate work across channels so humans can focus on clinical judgment, relationship building and handling exceptions.

Health plans will become much better at identifying members at risk before that risk materializes—and proactively addressing those needs. That’s where the real value will come.

At the center of this model is a dynamic view of each member that helps AI drive action, while humans provide judgment and oversight. Unlike traditional care models, it enables continuous risk monitoring, proactive engagement and personalized guidance to reduce friction and help high-cost members navigate care with providers.

AI use cases across the payer value chain

Seen this way, the model is not abstract. Many drivers of medical expense — avoidable admissions, unmanaged chronic disease, medication nonadherence, out-of-network leakage and member friction — are operational problems disguised as actuarial ones. An agentic health plan addresses them earlier and more consistently at scale.

Value chain stageWhat changesPrimary impact
Member enrollment and eligibilityReal-time eligibility verification; AI-assisted product selection; multilingual onboarding at scaleReduced friction at acquisition; improved first year retention
Member sensing and segmentationContinuously updated risk signals for all membersEarlier intervention; reduced avoidable emergency department and inpatient utilization
Care managementSelect programs for high-risk members replaced by individualized plans with next best actions, closed-loop tasks and agent-assisted outreachCare gap closure; increased medication adherence; reduced churn; consumer assessment of healthcare providers and systems (CAHPS)/net promoter score (NPS) improvement
Utilization management(UM)Retrospective UM replaced by earlier, by-exception review embedded in workflowsLower prior authorization (PA) volume; faster turnaround time (TAT); fewer denials and appeals
PricingStatic fee schedules replaced by dynamic, data-driven pricing updates tied to behavior and performanceValue-aligned incentives; behavior-driven spend enhancement; improved cash throughput to providers
Claims and point-of-sale paymentAI-driven real-time coverage and out-of-pocket estimates at the point of care, linked to decision-making, with automated adjudication for eligible claimsReduced downstream rework; improved provider experience — also preservice payment clarity, faster payment, fewer denials/recoveries, less admin friction; lower cost per claim
Payment integrity and fraud, waste and abuseProactive, continuous monitoring of the full claims universeLower leakage; faster recovery; investigator productivity
Employer reporting and plan sponsor engagement Attributed outcome reporting showing the direct cost management impactImproved plan sponsor retention; differentiation in competitive request for proposal (RFP) processes

Agentic AI does more than cut costs; it can strengthen the competitive position. We estimate that agentic AI can help generate $85 million to $225 million of value per $1 billion of revenue, along with better experiences, lower medical trends and stronger retention.

Execution depends on data, talent and scale

The opportunity is significant, but few organizations can pursue it all at once. Capital, regulation and limited leadership capacity constrain progress, and smaller plans may fall behind as data, talent and scale advantages compound.

AI only scales on high-quality, interoperable data. Fragmented records, inconsistent coding and disconnected vendors limit impact, regardless of model sophistication. Data investments may not pay off immediately, but they determine whether future AI efforts scale or stall.

Poor data quality risks ‘junk in, junk out’ with AI systems. It is difficult to scale AI across fragmented, inaccurate data sources.

With core data integrated, payers can add real-time signals — such as wearables and engagement data — to improve prediction and enable earlier intervention.

Funding the shift 

Transformation needs a practical funding model. The most effective path is self-funding: Early gains create capacity and cash to reinvest in redesign, platforms and global delivery models that add scale, flexibility and efficiency.

Transformation stalls when AI is funded as a stand-alone initiative rather than as part of a broader operating model reset. Prioritizing investments can create a flywheel to generate dividends that can be reinvested.

The path forward for health insurers

The window is narrowing. Payers likely have two to three years to reposition before structural disadvantage sets in. Leaders are already building governance, modernizing data and redesigning journeys end-to-end to compete on faster, better decisions at lower cost. The market will not wait for consensus. By the time the path feels fully proven, the economics will already have shifted.

Leaders can take a phased approach:

Organizations don’t need another AI strategy deck. They need to decide where to play, what to redesign and how fast to move. The real risk is not moving too early. It’s moving too late.

We would also like to thank our colleagues Katherine Kohatsu, Robert Sim and Joseph Baez for their contributions to this article.

Summary 

A health insurer can’t solve structural pressure with incremental efficiency alone. Agentic AI offers a path to redesign payer economics by improving decisions across care, cost and experience. Leaders that sequence high-impact growth journeys now may be able to build advantage before the market resets around faster, more personalized and lower-cost models.

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