Critical assumptions
A critical assumption is a fact on which the taxpayer's TPM depends. APAs typically list critical assumptions that involve a particular mode of conducting business operations, a particular corporate or business structure, or a range of expected business volume.
The model APA used by the IRS includes a standard critical assumption that there will be no material changes to the taxpayer's business or to its tax or financial accounting practices during the APA term, and all the APAs executed in 2022 included that standard critical assumption.
A few bilateral cases have included critical assumptions tied to either the taxpayer's profitability in a certain year or over the term of the APA, or to the amount of non-covered transactions as a percentage of the taxpayer's revenue.
If a critical assumption has not been met, and the parties cannot agree on how to revise the APA, the APA can be canceled. The IRS did not cancel any APAs in 2022 relating to the failure of a critical assumption (or any other reason).
Implications
The APA Program's results contained in the Report for 2022 includes the following:
- The number of APA filings was 183, up from 145 in 2021.
- APMA executed 77 APAs, down from 124 in 2021.
- The median time to complete a new bilateral APA rose to 53 months from 52.3 months in 2021.
- The median time to complete a renewal of a unilateral APA dropped from 24.5 months in 2021 to 22.9 months in 2022.
- The median time to complete an APA (bilateral and unilateral) rose to 43.4 months, compared to 35.1 months in 2021 and 32.7 months in 2020.
After several years of increasing personnel reported, APMA's headcount decreased in 2022. Currently, in addition to its Director, APMA has 59 team leaders, 26 economists, 9 managers and 3 assistant directors — a total of 98 transfer pricing professionals.
The number of APAs completed in 2022 is down significantly from last year and is the lowest number of APAs executed since 2011. It is unclear what caused this result, although some of the decrease may be attributable to the decrease in the number of team leaders and lingering delays from the COVID-19 pandemic. The number of APAs executed has varied a bit from year to year and, in the past, years with low numbers of APAs executed were often followed by years with robust APA completions. It will be interesting to see whether the number of APAs executed during 2023 will rebound to a number more consistent with the past decade.
As a result of the constant changes in the global economy and tax landscape, multinationals are continuing to revisit and assess supply chains impacts and manage global controversy matters related to their intercompany transactions. The substantial increase in the number of APA requests filed shows that APAs remain an attractive way to obtain transfer pricing certainty for many taxpayers. That said, anticipated changes to Revenue Procedure 2015-41 and access to the APA program, along with the decreased number of executed APAs in 2022, may increase the attractiveness of alternative dispute resolution procedures such as the International Compliance Assurance Program (ICAP).
For additional information with respect to this Alert, please contact the following:
National Tax Department, International Tax and Transaction Services, Transfer Pricing
- Ryan J. Kelly, Americas ITTS Tax Controversy Leader
- Hiro Furuya
- Ameet Kapoor
- Carlos M. Mallo
- Marla McClure
- Donna McComber
- Mike McDonald
- Tom Ralph
- Craig Sharon
- Kent Stackhouse
- Thomas A. Vidano
- Heather Gorman
- Giulia Di Stefano
- Carolina Figueroa
- Mitch Gibson
Published by NTD’s Tax Technical Knowledge Services group; Andrea Ben-Yosef, legal editor
For a full listing of contacts and email addresses, please click on the Tax News Update: Global Edition (GTNU) version of this Alert.